Alex Blickle's Articles

On the surface, much of what we do with DFS and fantasy football is… silly. Football is a game, so we’re playing a fantasy game within a game, yet pouring our hearts and souls into the analysis on a weekly basis.   Of course, it’s not silly beyond the surface. Aside from the very real […]

Yes, it’s the Sentry Tournament of Champions, but even more than that, it’s the true start to the 2023 season. PGA DFS is an absolute blast, so welcome to a sweat like no other for you newcomers.   Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in […]

The PGA Tour is back, and so is my Course Fit Model. New this season, this article will focus on both DFS and betting (including PrizePicks). Let’s begin the new year with a bang.   Golf is the only sport such that the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to […]

This article is about laying the groundwork for a successful week in the NFL GPP streets. It focuses on stacks and correlated leverage, but keep in mind that the Chalk Report has given us a framework from which to build winning GPP lineups, particularly in single entry contests. The framework won’t always work out as perfectly […]

This article will cover my NBA DFS GPP plays for the day. It is extremely important to keep up with the news up until lock. If you are new to NBA DFS, each time news about a player breaks, it has a ripple effect through the entire slate. Staying on top of the breaking news […]

Week 16 of the NFL season was full of surprises, including the actual rostership vs. predicted rostership for a number of players. In addition to the usual analysis, we’ll explore how rostership is connected in this edition of the Chalk Report.   Building NFL DFS lineups is difficult. With an abundance of exciting options at […]

This article is about laying the groundwork for a successful week in the NFL GPP streets. It focuses on stacks and correlated leverage, but keep in mind that the Chalk Report has given us a framework from which to build winning GPP lineups, particularly in single entry contests. The framework won’t always work out as perfectly […]

The NBA is not data-driven in the same way that sports like baseball and golf are. In particular, we can’t evaluate individual matchups solely through calculations. However, we can still use both team level and individual statistics to guide our lineup-building process on a daily basis. Here are five stats I want to build around […]

Building NFL DFS lineups is difficult. With an abundance of exciting options at each position, it’s an intimidating task to try to decide correctly on each and every player. We can simplify this task by discovering frameworks within which to make all of our decisions. Essentially, this article will answer two questions as the season […]

This article will cover my NBA GPP plays for the day. It is extremely important to keep up with the news up until lock. If you are new to NBA DFS, players often get ruled out, so staying on top of the breaking news will give you the best edge to be profitable. The best […]

This article is about laying the groundwork for a successful week in the NFL GPP streets. It focuses on stacks and correlated leverage, but keep in mind that the Chalk Report has given us a framework from which to build winning GPP lineups, particularly in single entry contests. The framework won’t always work out as perfectly […]

This Saturday NFL DFS slate is reminiscent of the annual Thanksgiving slate. At this size, rostership has a habit of concentrating around a handful of plays, giving us a chance to leverage the field en masse.    I want to approach this slate with the same single entry framework derived from the Chalk Report that I […]

Batted ball data has a major flaw. Fortunately, there’s an easy fix. For this article, we’ll focus on Statcast’s barrel rate and hard hit rate. These stats measure the quality of contact, not the result of contact.   As analysts, when we turn to Statcast data, we’re trying to find signal that’s missing from more traditional […]

The NBA is not data-driven in the same way that sports like baseball and golf are. In particular, we can’t evaluate individual matchups solely through calculations. However, we can still use both team level and individual statistics to guide our lineup-building process on a daily basis. Here are five stats I want to build around […]

Building NFL DFS lineups is difficult. With an abundance of exciting options at each position, it’s an intimidating task to try to decide correctly on each and every player. We can simplify this task by discovering frameworks within which to make all of our decisions. Essentially, this article will answer two questions as the season […]

This article is about laying the groundwork for a successful week in the NFL GPP streets. It focuses on stacks and correlated leverage, but keep in mind that the Chalk Report has given us a framework from which to build winning GPP lineups, particularly in single entry contests. The framework won’t always work out as perfectly […]

When it comes to making the right moves for fantasy football, DFS and betting, one of the better advanced stats at our disposal is directional receiving data, which tells us about the strength of an offensive player (where he does his damage) and the philosophy of the defense.   Thus, the second act of the […]

The NBA is not data-driven in the same way that sports like baseball and golf are. In particular, we can’t evaluate individual DFS matchups solely through calculations. However, we can still use both team level and individual statistics to guide our lineup-building process on a daily basis. Here are five stats I want to build […]

Week 13 was another excellent week for us at FTNDaily, and I’m not sure I’d be enjoying such a successful run without the analysis from this article throughout the year. Even an investor has taken notice of the edge created by this article: We’ve got something great going here, but we need to keep the pedal […]

This article is about laying the groundwork for a successful week in the NFL GPP streets. It focuses on stacks and correlated leverage, but keep in mind that the Chalk Report has given us a framework from which to build winning GPP DFS lineups, particularly in single entry contests. For example, we were reminded once again […]

The NBA is not data-driven in the same way that sports like baseball and golf are. In particular, we can’t evaluate individual matchups solely through calculations. However, we can still use both team level and individual statistics to guide our lineup-building process on a daily basis. Here are five stats I want to build around […]

Week 12 was underwhelming for me from a DFS perspective, but it was perhaps the best week of all for single-entry rostership projections. The reverse steam theory delivered the GPP winner again, as well:   Building NFL DFS lineups is difficult. With an abundance of exciting options at each position, it’s an intimidating task to try […]

Glory at last. The single-entry framework from the Chalk Report has had me as excited as ever to build NFL DFS lineups on a weekly basis, but Week 11 was the first time this season that it came to fruition in the form of a GPP takedown. If you’re here on a free trial, do one […]

What a week! We had winners abound at FTN, including my first takedown of the season. We’ll close this week’s article with a brief lineup review, but we’ll remain diligent with the Chalk Report analysis first.    Building NFL DFS lineups is difficult. With an abundance of exciting options at each position, it’s an intimidating task to […]

The single-entry framework from the Chalk Report has me as excited as ever to build NFL DFS lineups on a weekly basis.    GPPs are a game of probability. We can think of the chance of our lineup “hitting” as the chance of all of our individual plays hitting. This is why we stack — by […]

Naturally, we’re getting hot right before the break. At the RSM Classic, we’re trying to make it three outright hits in a row (try FTNBets for FREE), and we’ve been humming on the DFS side of things, as well.    Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in […]

Building NFL DFS lineups is difficult. With an abundance of exciting options at each position, it’s an intimidating task to try to decide correctly on each and every player. We can simplify this task by discovering frameworks within which to make all of our decisions. Essentially, this article will answer two questions as the season […]

The fall swing of the PGA Tour has been kind to us, particularly the last two weeks. The Course Fit Model for the RSM Classic suggests more of the same.   Golf is the only sport in which the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each […]

GPPs are a game of probability. We can think of the chance of our lineup “hitting” as the chance of all of our individual plays hitting. This is why we stack — by adding correlation, we increase the probability of a group of players hitting at the same time.   A great analogy is to […]

Blitz stats can be your secret weapon. This debut article of the FTN Data Series will take you step by step through the process of using them to your advantage. The FTN Data Series will make you better bettors, DFS and fantasy football players, and researchers of NFL football. The sea of interesting and actionable […]

Admittedly, it’s going to be tough to top last week’s hot takes, but the Houston Open’s driver-centric course fit model sets up well for us.   Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation to their rostership projections. Often, you have to feel like you’re on […]

Building NFL DFS lineups is difficult. With an abundance of exciting options at each position, it’s an intimidating task to try to decide correctly on each and every player. We can simplify this task by discovering frameworks within which to make all of our decisions. Essentially, this article will answer two questions as the season […]