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Fantasy football rankings vs. expert consensus – Week 16

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It is that time of year again. Lineups need to be set, and with that comes some tough decisions. We’re in the thick of the playoff in Week 16, the semis for most, so the stakes are at their highest point yet, and this week’s start/sit decisions are that much more critical. 

 

One of the most popular tools here at FTN is our fantasy football rankings. Each week, we bring you non-PPR, PPR and half-PPR rankings to help you win your league. 

Throughout the season, I will break down which players our FTN rankers prefer more (or less) than the expert consensus rankings found at FantasyPros. For this article, I will be looking at the half-PPR format.

Quarterback 

QBs the FTN rankers like more than ECR

Player Team ECR Rk. FTN Rk. Difference
Joe Burrow CIN 5 4 1
Dak Prescott DAL 9 8 1
Daniel Jones NYG 10 9 1
Brock Purdy SF 16 15 1
Derek Carr LV 17 16 1

QBs the FTN rankers like less than ECR

Player Team ECR Rk. FTN Rk. Difference
Geno Smith SEA 8 10 -2
Aaron Rodgers GB 11 13 -2
Gardner Minshew PHI 15 17 -2
Deshaun Watson CLE 18 20 -2
Justin Fields CHI 4 5 -1
  • As we head into the semifinals, we see only minor differences between the ECR and our FTN ranks within the quarterback ranks. 
  • Within the top five, we see that Joe Burrow and Justin Fields are flipped, with our rankers preferring Burrow. 
  • Dak Prescott and Daniel Jones are both ranked one spot higher by our FTN rankers inside the top 10. 
  • The most significant differences come within players who our FTN rankers have lower than the ECR with Geno Smith, Aaron Rodgers, Gardner Minshew and Deshaun Watson all being two spots lower than the ECR.

Running Back 

RBs the FTN rankers like more than ECR

Player Team ECR Rk. FTN Rk. Difference
AJ Dillon GB 32 29 3
Saquon Barkley NYG 6 4 2
James Conner ARI 10 8 2
Miles Sanders PHI 15 13 2
Isiah Pacheco KC 23 21 2
Latavius Murray DEN 24 22 2
Christian McCaffrey SF 2 1 1
Aaron Jones GB 11 10 1
Kenneth Walker SEA 18 17 1

RBs the FTN rankers like less than ECR

Player Team ECR Rk. FTN Rk. Difference
Jerick McKinnon KC 13 18 -5
Nick Chubb CLE 8 11 -3
Raheem Mostert MIA 21 24 -3
Derrick Henry TEN 1 2 -1
Josh Jacobs LV 4 5 -1
Dalvin Cook MIN 5 6 -1
Joe Mixon CIN 14 15 -1
  • The most significant difference between the ECR and our FTN ranks is with Jerick McKinnon, as our rankers have him five spots lower than the ECR, but both have him inside the top 20. 
  • After this we also see a significant gap between Nick Chubb and Raheem Mostert who our rankers have three spots lower than the ECR. 
  • We can also see AJ Dillon has a three-spot difference, but our rankers are more in on Dillon than the ECR. 
  • Within the top 10 we also see our rankers in more on Saquon Barkley and James Conner as we have them two spots higher than the ECR. 
  • Additionally, we see our rankers favor Christian McCaffrey to Derrick Henry at the top of the rankings. 
  • Latavius Murray is another player our rankers have two spots higher than the ECR.
  • Isiah Pacheco and Miles Sanders are also players our FTN rankers prefer this week as we have them two spots higher than the ECR.
  • On the flip side, we see that our rankers are a bit lower on Josh Jacobs, Dalvin Cook and Joe Mixon
 

Wide Receiver

WRs the FTN rankers like more than ECR

Player Team ECR Rk. FTN Rk. Difference
Michael Pittman IND 23 19 4
A.J. Brown PHI 9 7 2
JuJu Smith-Schuster KC 20 18 2
Marquise Brown ARI 34 32 2
Allen Lazard GB 36 34 2
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET 6 5 1
Keenan Allen LAC 12 11 1
Tee Higgins CIN 15 14 1
Mike Evans TB 17 16 1
Donovan Peoples-Jones CLE 39 38 1

WRs the FTN rankers like less than ECR

Player Team ECR Rk. FTN Rk. Difference
Terry McLaurin WSH 18 22 -4
DeVonta Smith PHI 21 23 -2
DJ Moore CAR 22 24 -2
Diontae Johnson PIT 27 29 -2
Stefon Diggs BUF 5 6 -1
DK Metcalf SEA 7 8 -1
CeeDee Lamb DAL 8 9 -1
Jaylen Waddle MIA 11 12 -1
Mike Williams LAC 14 15 -1
Christian Watson GB 16 17 -1

Tight End

TEs the FTN rankers like more than ECR

Player Team ECR Rk. FTN Rk. Difference
Pat Freiermuth PIT 9 7 2
Greg Dulcich DEN 14 12 2

TEs the FTN rankers like less than ECR

Player Team ECR Rk. FTN Rk. Difference
Darren Waller LV 6 8 -2
Dallas Goedert PHI 8 9 -1
  • For another week we see that the ECR and our FTN rankers are fairly aligned within the top 15 tight ends. 
  • The most significant difference is with Darren Waller as our ranked are less in on him than the ECR this week. 
  • On the flip side, we see that our rankers are more in on Pat Freiermuth and Greg Dulcich this week, having them both as top-12 options. 
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