Michael Cohen's Articles

We’re getting down to the wire. With four weeks left in the NFL regular season, my best entry in the Circa Millions contest is tied for 18th. At some point soon, I may need to choose lines that are just half points to hope to go 5-0 to shoot into the top five, where all […]

I’ve had the weirdest season. I get whallopped often on Sundays outside of that one big week on FanDuel, but I manage to continually slay as Gen-Z’ers like to say at showdown. I now have five entries to the DraftKings championships next week, all via showdown. So if you read and care about what I say in […]

After going a disappointing 2-3 last week, my best entry in the Circa Millions NFL Picks contest dropped to tied for 26th place, though I’m still just three correct picks away from first. Here are some of the sides that pique my interest in Week 14.   Week 14 Circa Millions Picks New York Jets […]

As we enter December, we really start to get into my wheelhouse. Late-season NFL DFS is where we’ll often get the opportunity to roster some really solid, contrarian plays because people have just given up on some players due to recent performance. We’ll also sometimes see some mega chalk that just doesn’t deserve to be […]

After going 4-1 in Circa Millions last week, my top lineup is 40-18-2 and tied for 13th place. It is one correct pick from being tied for fourth, three from first. To stay near the top, I’m going to have to continue to get at least three picks right each week.   I’ll be a […]

This is always the most hectic week of the year with essentially two main slates for DFS. After sweating out the Thanksgiving games, we need to quickly turn around and prepare for the main slate.  The over-unders on this slate are fairly low, and people tend to have an almost allergic reaction to rostering any […]

In addition to having a big DFS win last week, I went 5-0 with my Circa Picks, catapulting my best entry to 22nd place out of 5,273 total entries. My other entry is in 1763rd place, so it doesn’t really matter much still.   Generally, people don’t play the Thursday NFL games much and wait […]

Thanksgiving is hands down my favorite day of the year. As my fellow parents fully understand, your birthday takes on less and less importance as you grow older and have children. So really, Thanksgiving is the only day of the year where we can eat whatever we want and watch football all day long. We […]

The second half of the NFL season is when I typically shine as a DFS player. I think it’s mainly due to the public aggressively latching on to trends that have worked for the first half of the season even if those trends are largely due to just randomness. Also, some players with high potential […]

After going 2-3 last week, my best entry in the Circa Millions dropped to being tied for 112th place out of 5,273 total entries. My other entry is basically languishing in the middle of the pack at 2,591st. With a little less than half of the season left for this contest, I still have quite […]

This week’s slate looks very familiar to last week’s, so expect the typical overreaction by the public. Part of it will be player-focused. Everyone will think Tank Dell will repeat his performance with Nico Collins out (essentially counting on C.J. Stroud to throw for another 475 yards) while assuming Chris Godwin can’t get double-digit points.  […]

My second entry in the Circa Millions contest went a very respectable 4-1 last week, catapulting it to tied for 66th place out of 5,273 entries in the contest. My first entry is still languishing in the middle of the pack at 2,745th place, so it doesn’t really stand much of a chance for much […]

We have a week similar to Week 7, with fewer games and lower totals.You have elite QBs and then a bunch of yucky backups for the most part. You have a cheap, shiny new WR who has gotten targets and hasn’t burned anyone before. A.J. Brown can’t not go for 100+ yards and multiple touchdowns. […]

My best entry in the Circa Millions went 2-3 last week, dropping me to 118th place out of 5273 total entries. It’s still just four correct picks out of first, so there’s no reason to panic at this point, since it’s just the midpoint of the season. I’m just going to continue to focus on […]

We have another potentially very low-scoring week on tap. I don’t think in the 10 years I’ve been playing DFS that I’ve seen so many totals in the mid 30s without weather issues. Often on weeks like this, we get a variety of bad chalk since the public clings to guys they view as safe, […]

We’re almost halfway through the Circa Millions, and my second entry went 5-0 last week and is currently in 37th, which is in the top 1%. My first entry is still in the middle of the pack, tied for 2418th place.    I’ll continue just making my favorite picks with my second entry, whereas I’m […]

The “chalkacalypse” continued last week with Raheem Mostert completely breaking the NFL DFS slate, but scoring was more or less normal outside of that. So perhaps there’s hope out there for a little contrarian troll like me, who is dependent on normal/lowish scoring but still needs the chalk to not be the truth.    Every […]

Last week looked like it could have been great for my second entry until that Mac Jones safety resulted in the Patriots losing against the spread. Currently, my first entry is 14-15-1 and in 3,113st place, more or less in the middle of the pack. My second entry is 18-10-2 and in 312th place, instead […]

I keep saying certain trends can’t continue, and the trends somehow hear this and then slap me in the face with an even crazier high-scoring trend.  The fantasy scoring this year has been extremely high, which tends to be very bad for my strategy. It also leads to insane expectations on the part of DFS […]

We’re getting more into the meat of the season, and my two entries have diverged quite a bit in how they’re doing. My first entry went 1-4 last week and is now 12-12-1, tied in the middle of the pack for 2,759th place. It really needs to move up or perhaps move down and go […]

There are some crazy weeks with some crazy value plays, some sort of mega chalk, or a certain game that will make or break a slate. Then there are normal weeks with some normal chalk, some of which I like, some I don’t, and some random value plays I like. This is a very normal […]

I’ve really enjoyed competing in the Circa Millions contest so far this year. For those of you unfamiliar with it, you pay $1,000 per entry and make five picks per week per entry. You get a point for each correct pick and a half point for a push. Only sides are available for selecting, not […]

We had an insane level of scoring around the NFL last week, so everyone is going to continue to think that some of these unsustainable DFS trends will continue. I think this will translate into people thinking certain teams and strategies will continue to do well and will overlook a few players that had an […]

In NFL DFS, I often say, “I’m either going to win a lot, or I’ll get annihilated this week.” In fact, I said that last week during our Sunday morning livestream, so of course I ended up breaking even.  I have that feeling again this week because there is a clear chalk game and a […]

We finally got in a full week of regular season football, so we can now all collectively overreact to what we witnessed. Puka Nacua is certainly going for 10-plus targets every week, the Giants will never score, and Atlanta will never throw the ball again.   For Week 2 in DFS, I generally look for […]

Suffice it to say, we are all very excited football is back. My natural instinct is to go wild and enter a ton of money into NFL DFS tournaments, especially since there is a $4,444 Milly Maker on DraftKings. I want to come out firing — I am TwoGun after all. However, I’m desperately trying to […]

I’ve been doing best ball drafts since late May, and I’m officially worn out. I have over 500 drafts under my belt, including a $50,000 12-person best ball league I did live with DraftKings in San Diego last weekend.   Let’s first dive into my $50k lineup and my reasoning. There are some major rules […]

We have just over a month left until kickoff, and I’ve done well over 300 best ball drafts. I’ll likely end up with about 500, so I can’t expect my player exposures to change too dramatically.   I’ll be doing a 12-person league, $50k entry live best ball draft on DraftKings August 18. Since this […]

After about a month and a half of best ball drafts, I’ve already completed over 150 drafts at a variety of buyins, so I’m well on target to finish my goal of at least 500 this season.  My guess is the softest drafts (especially fast drafts) will generally happen closer to kickoff, so I don’t […]

Best ball is really taking off this fantasy football season, and I’m making an attempt to do at least 400-500 total drafts by kickoff of the NFL regular season. I especially like the $555 DraftKings Milly Maker event, although it certainly can get costly if I try to get close to max entries in that […]

As a full-slate NFL GPP DFS specialist, I don’t exactly look forward to the Super Bowl. While I do play Showdowns from time to time, they are not my speciality. But it is the Super Bowl, I like football and will have action on the game, so I’ll go ahead and share my thoughts. So […]

I view the NFL Conference Championships as the point in the season where DFS takes an undeniable backseat to betting and generic NFL fandom. You really can’t do much with just two games, and I intend on having about 10% of the amount of money in play as I usually do.    I try to […]