Alex Blickle's Articles

For the first time in several weeks, we’re coming off a strong PGA event. Congratulations to our very own Jeff Lowe (Rotomania in Discord) for grabbing two seats in the DraftKings World Golf Championship later this year.   Let’s hope for more of the same this week with one of my favorite tournaments of the year […]

This article will cover my NBA DFS GPP plays for the day. There are 10 games on Friday’s NBA slate. It is extremely important to keep up with the news up until lock. If you are new to NBA DFS, each time news about a player breaks, it has a ripple effect through the entire […]

This article will cover my NBA DFS GPP plays for the day. There are four games on Thursday’s NBA slate. It is extremely important to keep up with the news up until lock. If you are new to NBA DFS, each time news about a player breaks, it has a ripple effect through the entire […]

The Arnold Palmer Invitational is likely to be a preview of what’s to come in this year’s Major Championships. I’m expecting a firm, challenging course that will get brutal in the Friday and Saturday winds. Speaking of, the winds have a chance to define the week — who avoids the heaviest winds and who handles […]

Oh, how disappointing of a week it turned out to be at The Honda Classic. That tournament is infinitely better when the course shows its teeth. The rough was forgiving, the greens were soft, and there was no wind. Boo!   Fortunately, it seems as though we’re in for a brutal test of golf at […]

Let’s set the stage. It was Game 3 of the 2022 World Series, with two outs and one on in the bottom of the scoreless first. Bryce Harper stepped to the plate in front of the electric Philly crowd. With Lance McCullers Jr. on the mound and his refusal to throw fastballs to lefties, John […]

A weaker PGA field is actually kind of great for hot takes. A shocking number of players in the Honda Classic field are capable of both contending and missing the cut by five strokes. The variability of PGA National only adds to this fact. Consequently, we’re left with a decision either to lean into the […]

Underdog took the NFL fantasy football world by storm this season with their best ball product, and now they’re venturing into the PGA world. Up first is a set of tournaments for the major championships only. These PGA Underdog best ball rankings are powered by Alex Blickle’s baseline strokes gained and expected course fit strokes […]

After tremendous wins in incredible fields from Scottie Scheffler and Jon Rahm, we’re left with an odds board that includes Benny An at 55-1. Fortunately, The Honda Classic has been one of the more profitable events for us over the years, in large part due to PGA National’s course fit model.   Once again, new […]

Tiger freaking Woods. Tiger’s return brings a level of excitement that only Major Championships can match, but my excitement also lies in the fact that we have several plays that I absolutely love for the 2023 Genesis Invitational.    PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation to their […]

What a run of golf tournaments we’ve reached. Going from the party at TPC Scottsdale to historic Riviera CC is a spoil I don’t take for granted — for as much as we criticize the Tour for leaving meat on the bone of the PGA product as a whole, this time of year is near […]

This article will cover my NBA GPP plays for the day. We have an eight-game main DFS slate for Saturday.   It is extremely important to keep up with the news up until lock. If you are new to NBA DFS, each time news about a player breaks, it has a ripple effect through the […]

How fitting — in the week that the WM Phoenix Open overlaps with the Super Bowl, we unveil our reverse steam analysis in PGA. For those unfamiliar, it’s the analysis that we used in NFL DFS to make this season my best one yet, and certainly the most fun. More on this in the first […]

The WM Phoenix Open has everything — electric crowds, one of the strongest fields we’ve ever seen, and an incredibly reliable course fit model that plays into our edge here at FTN. Having this tournament to look forward to is about all that’s keeping my Super Bowl nerves in check (go Birds).    Once again, […]

The NBA is not data-driven in the same way that sports like baseball and golf are. In particular, we can’t evaluate individual DFS matchups solely through calculations. However, we can still use both team level and individual statistics to guide our lineup-building process on a daily basis. Here are five stats I want to build […]

Every now and then, the Course Fit Model gives us a straightforward path to the holy grail of DFS plays — players who project the best and are contrarian. This week at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am is one such example, as the field disregards the importance of distance off the tee.    Regardless of the event, PGA […]

It’s a shame that we waste one of the most iconic venues in all of golf on the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, but at least it’s a strong week for the Course Fit Model.   Once again, new this season, this article will focus on both DFS and betting (including PrizePicks).  Golf is the only sport […]

NFL postseason DFS is phenomenal. The first two rounds have enough games to give us plenty of options at each position, yet the slates are small enough to amplify the importance and power of game theory. As rostership concentrates, we’re provided opportunities to leverage the field in extreme ways. The jump to the Conference Championships, […]

PGA DFS Hot Takes for The 2023 Farmers Insurance Open   Welcome to the Farmers Insurance Open. After a series of short, gettable courses to start the season, the field is in for a rude awakening with the beast that is Torrey Pines. However, it’s an exciting change of pace for us, as the Course Fit […]

The Farmers Insurance Open gives us our first “big boy” course of the season. Going from the Hawaii courses and PGA West to the Torrey Pines South course is like getting called up to the big leagues but having to face Jacob deGrom as your first taste of MLB action. Who will be ready for […]

NFL postseason DFS is phenomenal. The first two rounds have enough games to give us plenty of options at each position, yet the slates are small enough to amplify the importance and power of game theory. As rostership concentrates, we’re provided opportunities to leverage the field in extreme ways.   A big “thank you” to […]

The NBA is not data-driven in the same way sports like baseball and golf are. In particular, we can’t evaluate individual matchups solely through calculations. However, we can still use both team level and individual statistics to guide our lineup-building process on a daily basis. Here are five stats I want to build around in […]

Can we duplicate last week’s success in the hot takes? Let’s find out! The American Express brings with it another solid Course Fit Model, and we even have individual course fit models for showdown.   Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation to their rostership […]

Two weeks into the PGA season and we already have our first outright hit of 2023. Thanks, Si Woo. Perhaps my favorite part of his win is that it dispelled the silly narrative that only players who played the previous week could do well. Anyway, The American Express is tricky in the sense that we […]

NFL postseason DFS is phenomenal. The first two rounds have enough games to give us plenty of options at each position, yet the slates are small enough to amplify the importance and power of game theory. As rostership concentrates, we’re provided opportunities to leverage the field in extreme ways.   I’m going to treat the […]

PGA DFS is officially all the way back! We’ve got a full field, a cut, and an outstanding course fit model — what a time to be alive.   Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you have to […]

It’s the first of September, 2023. You sit down to build your first NFL DFS lineup of the season but can’t quite recall all of the findings from the Chalk Report that brought you a successful 2022 season. Fortunately, you have this article that summarizes it all.   At the start of the season, the […]

The PGA Tour is back, and so is my Course Fit Model. New this season, this article will focus on both DFS and betting (including PrizePicks).    Golf is the only sport such that the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament provides its own unique […]

This article is about laying the groundwork for a successful week in the NFL GPP streets. It focuses on stacks and correlated leverage, but keep in mind that the Chalk Report has given us a framework from which to build winning GPP lineups, particularly in single entry contests. The framework won’t always work out as perfectly […]

This article will cover my NBA DFS GPP plays for the day. It is extremely important to keep up with the news up until lock. If you are new to NBA DFS, each time news about a player breaks, it has a ripple effect through the entire slate. Staying on top of the breaking news […]

Two-game NFL DFS slates require significantly more strategy thought than larger main slates for NFL DFS. We get one Saturday with the first two games of Week 18. In addition to my favorite individual plays for this slate, I’ll be talking through my favorite strategies, favorite stacks and my expectations for rostership at each position. […]

The NBA is not data-driven in the same way that sports like baseball and golf are. In particular, we can’t evaluate individual DFS matchups solely through calculations. However, we can still use both team level and individual statistics to guide our lineup-building process on a daily basis. Here are five stats I want to build […]