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PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 Tour Championship
The final hot takes of the 2023 PGA season! Let’s see if we can find one final gem or two. PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you have to feel like you’re on an island when it comes to your viewpoint of […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
4 under $8,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2023 Tour Championship
PGA DFS is often won or lost under $8k. At the top of the price range, especially in strong fields, any player can win in any given week. This isn’t true below $8k — some of the cheaper players have much better distributions of potential outcomes than others. Our job is to identify them. This […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
Bets
2023 Tour Championship Betting Preview
This weeks Tour Championship is the final event of the 2023 PGA Tour campaign. It should be a huge deal, but the tournament usually goes off with a whimper thanks to the format. With just 30 golfers remaining, match play would be the ideal format for viewing, but they’ve opted for a handicapped stroke-play format. […]
FTN Staff
PGA
Bets
PGA Betting Outrights: 2023 Tour Championship
Welcome to the most difficult week in all of golf betting! We lack a course fit model, and the staggered starting scores create a riddle that’s far more difficult to solve than most weeks. Let’s start with the course fit model — the goal of the model is to explain variation in historical performance […]
FTN Staff
PGA
DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 BMW Championship
The PGA Tour heads to Chicago to take on Olympia Fields Country Club. We last saw the course at the 2020 BMW Championship. Only five golfers finished under-par that week as the wind whipped and the course was playing extremely firm and fast. We should expect softer conditions this week, but it should still be […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
8 under $8,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2023 BMW Championship
This week’s BMW Championship features a limited field of just 50 golfers. They are the top-50 golfers this season, though, so all are capable of contending. Combine that with stretched-out pricing from DraftKings, and there needs to be a lot of focus on the salary cellar. While I said anyone in the field is capable […]
Josh Culp
PGA
Bets
PGA Betting Outrights: 2023 BMW Championship
Apologies for the late release of this week’s outrights article! I’m playing in the Pennsylvania Open, so I’m trying to get another outright win of my own! Come Sunday, however, I will be right back to rooting for the outright from my couch. Golf outrights are unlike anything else in betting. In no other […]
FTN Staff
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 BMW Championship
This week’s hot takes will once again feature our birdie rate over expectation metric, as it proved to be quite the cheat code last week. I cashed easily with Rory and Cam Davis as the only two guys who played well because everyone I used outperformed their real life performance in DraftKings points. PGA DFS […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
Bets
2023 BMW Championship Betting Preview
The PGA Tour moves from Memphis to Chicago this week for the second event of the FedEx Cup Playoffs. There are just 50 golfers left standing, so we can dive into the entire field rather easily. Finding a fit for the course is always the starting point of my betting process, so let’s check […]
FTN Staff
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship
Insert “Jim Mora playoffs” gif. Playoffs?? Hell yes! As unenthused as I typically am by no-cut events, we at least have the tools (like our birdie rate over expectation) to use it to our advantage. PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship
The playoffs start this week with a limited-field event taking place at TPC Southwind. There are just 70 golfers pegging it this week in Memphis and no-cut events always lead to more gamers gravitating to a stars-and-scrubs approach for DFS roster construction. It’s certainly tempting to take those salary savings at the bottom when […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
8 under $8,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship
PGA DFS is often won or lost under $8k. At the top of the price range, especially in strong fields, any player can win in any given week. This isn’t true below $8k — some of the cheaper players have much better distributions of potential outcomes than others. Our job is to identify them. This […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
Bets
PGA Betting Outrights: 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship
For the second consecutive week, I only have one outright bet (so far). Surprise, surprise — it’s Keegan! Again! Golf outrights are unlike anything else in betting. In no other sport do we consistently and exclusively look at bets that are 10-1 at best and more often than not closer to 100-1. One consequence […]
FTN Staff
PGA
Bets
2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship Betting Preview
TPC Southwind will host the opening event for the 2023 FedEx Cup Playoffs. We have a lot of history to lean on here, but there are plenty of fresh faces seeing the course for the first time. That is where course fit comes into play and becomes so important. Let’s lead with that. Course […]
FTN Staff
PGA
Bets
PGA Betting Course Fit and Stats: The 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship
Playoffs?? Hell yeah, we’re talking about playoffs. Do I wish there was a traditional cut this week? You bet, but we’ve got a great field at a great golf course, and a course-fit model that’s just as strong. A brief reminder of the thought process behind and execution of the course fit model: Golf […]
FTN Staff
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: The 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship
Playoffs?? Hell yeah, we’re talking about playoffs. Do I wish there was a traditional cut this week? You bet, but we’ve got a great field at a great golf course, and a course-fit model that’s just as strong. A brief reminder of the thought process behind and execution of the course fit model: Golf […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 Wyndham Championship
One of my favorite yearly mini-Tour stops was at Sedgefield CC — the Dye course, not this one. The one for this week’s Wyndham Championship is a Donald Ross course (not a bad place, this Sedgefield CC). Does this week make me a bit nostalgic for the summers I spent on the road from one […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
8 under $8,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2023 Wyndham Championship
PGA DFS is often won or lost under $8k. At the top of the price range, especially in strong fields, any player can win in any given week. This isn’t true below $8k — some of the cheaper players have much better distributions of potential outcomes than others. Our job is to identify them. […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Wyndham Championship
The Wyndham Championship is the last event of the PGA Tour’s 2023 regular season. The FedEx Cup Playoffs begin next week in Memphis, which means three weeks of no-cut, small-field events. Enough looking ahead though, let’s go out with bang at the Wyndham. Sedgefield Country Club is the host venue this week, and it’s a […]
Josh Culp
PGA
Bets
PGA Betting Outrights: 2023 Wyndham Championship
Sedgefield Country Club is a favorite tour stop for many of the guys in the field for the PGA Tour’s Wyndham Championship this week. As someone who has played its sister course in a handful of mini tour events, I can see why. There’s lots of other reason for excitement, though. From my Course Fit […]
FTN Staff
PGA
Bets
2023 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview
The Wyndham Championship is the final event of the PGA Tour’s regular season. There is still plenty of golf on the horizon, but this is the last chance for golfers to earn their spot in the playoffs. Narratives always start flying at this event, but we should stick to the basics, which is baseline performance […]
FTN Staff
PGA
Bets
PGA Betting Course Fit and Stats: The 2023 Wyndham Championship
I’m pumped for this week, and it has nothing to do with the course, or event, itself. Instead, it’s because we now have multiple measures of volatility, round-to-round and event-to-event. Let’s use Tony Finau and Cam Young as the example from last week: Cam is more volatile from one round to the next, but […]
FTN Staff
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: The 2023 Wyndham Championship
I’m pumped for this week, and it has nothing to do with the course, or event, itself. Instead, it’s because we now have multiple measures of volatility, round-to-round and event-to-event. Let’s use Tony Finau and Cam Young as the example from last week: Cam is more volatile from one round to the next, but […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 3M Open
The majors may be over for the PGA season, but there is still plenty of high-leverage golf to be played. With the FedEx Cup bubble moved from 120 down to 70 this year, a lot of golfers are now fighting for their spot in the playoffs, and some are fighting for their playing status. That […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 3M Open
After a rough Open, this is a perfect place to get back in the winner’s circle. I’m a huge fan of the course for this week’s 3M Open on the PGA Tour, and it sets up well for us. PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation to […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
8 under $8,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2023 3M Open
PGA DFS is often won or lost under $8k. At the top of the price range, especially in strong fields, any player can win in any given week. This isn’t true below $8k — some of the cheaper players have much better distributions of potential outcomes than others. Our job is to identify them. […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
Bets
2023 3M Open Betting Preview
The 3M Open doesn’t receive a lot of fanfare, but it’s one of my favorite events on the PGA schedule. I lived in the area for six years and have walked the course a few times. It’s always more fun to watch and handicap an event when you’ve been on the grounds. Let’s jump right […]
FTN Staff
PGA
Bets
PGA Betting Outrights: 2023 3M Open
From a Major Championship to an annual PGA Tour stop. The last time we returned to a familiar course post-Major Championship, we hit the Keegan Bradley 100-1 outright. More of the same this week? Zoom out for a second. It’s Monday Night Football in October and you just hit your second 10-1 “first touchdown” bet […]
FTN Staff
PGA
Bets
PGA Betting Course Fit and Stats: 2023 3M Open
The last time we returned to a known PGA course following a Major? Keegan Bradley’s win at the Travelers! This week, we once again return from the uncertainty of an unknown Major Championship golf course to a course we know well — TPC Twin Cities. Spoiler alert — I’m a big fan of this week’s […]
FTN Staff
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: 2023 3M Open
The last time we returned to a known PGA course following a Major? Keegan Bradley’s win at the Travelers! This week, we once again return from the uncertainty of an unknown Major Championship golf course to a course we know well — TPC Twin Cities. Spoiler alert — I’m a big fan of this week’s […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 Open Championship
At long last, we’ve reached the final major of the PGA season. There’s nothing more magical than having golf on TV through the darkest and calmest hours of the night, quietly watching your favorite players battle the elements from the comfort of your own bed. In most ways, it’s a once-a-year, nothing-else-like-it kind of week. […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
8 under $8,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2023 Open Championship
PGA DFS is often won or lost under $8k. At the top of the price range, especially in strong fields, any player can win in any given week. This isn’t true below $8k — some of the cheaper players have much better distributions of potential outcomes than others. Our job is to identify them. At […]
Alex Blickle