Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Ryan TannehillPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Commanders vs. Titans
Right now, Ryan Tannehill’s passing yards prop is set at 215.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 215.5 (-110) after it opened @ 214.5 (-115).
Pros
- Ryan Tannehill’s passing effectiveness has gotten better this year, accumulating 8.17 yards-per-target vs a mere 7.17 mark last year.
- Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 6th-most yards in the NFL (276.0 per game) vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year.
- The Washington Commanders pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency this year, surrendering 8.77 yards-per-target: the 5th-most in the NFL.
- The Washington Commanders cornerbacks rank as the 4th-worst group of CBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
- The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Titans to run the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the league this year, totaling just 50.5 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to attempt 31.2 passes in this game, on average: the 2nd-least of all quarterbacks.
- The Tennessee Titans offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
225
Passing Yards
225
Passing Yards
