WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Zach ErtzReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Cardinals vs. Eagles
Right now, Zach Ertz’s receiving yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 47.5 (-110) after it opened @ 41.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Cardinals are a 5.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 64.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Arizona Cardinals have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 70.2 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Cons
- Zach Ertz has accrued significantly fewer air yards this year (45.0 per game) than he did last year (52.0 per game).
- The Philadelphia Eagles linebackers project as the 7th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
- The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
- The Philadelphia Eagles defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 7th-quickest in football since the start of last season.
- The Arizona Cardinals have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
52
Receiving Yards
52
Receiving Yards
