Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kyler MurrayPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Cardinals vs. Eagles
Right now, Kyler Murray’s passing yards prop is set at 247.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 247.5 (-110) after it opened @ 249.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Cardinals are a 5.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 64.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Arizona Cardinals have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 70.2 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Cons
- Kyler Murray’s passing precision has tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 68.0% to 63.9%.
- Kyler Murray’s passing effectiveness has diminished this season, compiling a mere 6.02 yards-per-target vs a 7.61 figure last season.
- Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the lowest level in football against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year (60.9%).
- The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has shown good efficiency this year, surrendering 6.18 yards-per-target: the 5th-least in the NFL.
- The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best CB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
278
Passing Yards
278
Passing Yards
