Week 18 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Drake London from EV Insight

Drake LondonReceiving Yards

Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 45.5 (-115) after it opened @ 42.5 (-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to call the 6th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Drake London to accumulate 8.1 targets in this week’s game, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile among wide receivers.
Drake London has been a key part of his team’s passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 29.1% this year, which ranks in the 96th percentile among WRs.
Drake London has totaled a whopping 71.0 air yards per game this year: 82nd percentile among wideouts.

Cons

The Falcons are a 5.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 45.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 54.6 plays per game.
Drake London has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing just 61.4% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 17th percentile among wideouts
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has conceded the 4th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.9%) versus WRs this year (62.9%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
60
Receiving Yards