Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
The final week of the regular season is difficult to sort through, given the wide range of outcomes from player to player. Although most teams are trying to win, the motivation factor for individual players differs, especially if some have nothing to play for. This might also change their fantasy football outlook.
In this article, we’re looking at what players have the most to gain in Week 18 by looking at statistical milestones, contract incentives and records.
Week 18 Statistical Milestones Player Might Be Chasing
Davante Adams needs 5 receptions to reach 100 on the season. He averages 5.94 receptions per game and has logged 5-plus catches in 10 out of 16 games. Adams had 7 receptions in his first game with Jarrett Stidham.
A.J. Brown needs 99 receiving yards to reach 1,500 on the season. He averages 87.56 receiving yards per game and 85.72 receiving yards with Jalen Hurts (14 games). Brown has logged 99-plus receiving yards in nine of 16 games.
Amari Cooper needs 91 receiving yards to reach 1,200 on the season. He averages 69.31 receiving yards per game and 63.4 receiving yards with Deshaun Watson (five games). Cooper has logged 91-plus receiving yards in five of 16 games and had his first game with 100-plus receiving yards with Watson in Week 17.
Dalvin Cook is 111 scrimmage yards from 1,500 on the season. He averages 89.44 scrimmage yards on the season and has logged 111-plus scrimmage yards in five of 16 games.
Derrick Henry is 71 rushing yards from 1,500 on the season. He averages 95.27 rushing yards per game and 153.33 rushing yards without Ryan Tannehill (three games). Henry has logged 71-plus rushing yards in 11 of 15 games. Henry also needs 193 scrimmage yards to reach 2,000 on the season. He averages 120.54 scrimmage yards per game and 156.33 scrimmage yards without Tannehill (three games). Henry has logged 193-plus scrimmage yards once.
D’Onta Foreman needs 154 rushing yards to reach 1,000 on the season. He averages 56.4 rushing yards per game, 80.9 rushing yards without Christian McCaffrey (10 games), and 79.2 rushing yards with Sam Darnold (five games). Foreman has logged 154-plus rushing yards once.
DJ Moore needs 122 receiving yards to reach 1,000 on the season. He averages 55.13 receiving yards per game and 75.2 receiving yards with Sam Darnold (five games). Moore logged 122-plus receiving yards once.
Tyler Allgeier needs 100 rushing yards to reach 1,000 on the season. He averages 60 rushing yards per game and 98.6 rushing yards with Desmond Ridder (three games). Allgeier has logged 100-plus rushing yards once.
Mark Andrews needs 153 receiving yards to reach 1,000 on the season. He averages 56.47 receiving yards per game and 49.2 receiving yards with Tyler Huntley (five games). Andrews had his first 100-plus receiving yard game with Huntley in Week 17 but has not had more than 106 receiving yards this season.
Nick Chubb needs 52 rushing yards to reach 1,500 on the season. He averages 90.5 rushing yards per game and 81.8 rushing yards with Deshaun Watson (five games). Chubb has logged 52-plus rushing yards in 14 of 16 games.
Tony Pollard (Q) needs 12 rush yards to reach 1,000 on the season. He averages 65.87 rushing yards per game, 57.8 rushing yards with Ezekiel Elliott (13 games) and 70.4 rushing yards with Dak Prescott (10 games). Pollard has logged 12-plus rushing yards in 14 of 15 games.
Ezekiel Elliott needs 134 rushing yards to reach 1,000. He averages 61.86 rushing yards per game, 63.77.8 rushing yards with Tony Pollard (13 games) and 59.11 rushing yards with Dak Prescott (nine games). Elliott has no games with 134-plus rushing yards, but one game with 131.
Miles Sanders needs 16 scrimmage yards to reach 1,500 on the season. He averages 82.13 scrimmage yards per game and 84.43 scrimmage yards with Jalen Hurts (14 games). Sanders has logged 12-plus scrimmage yards in 15 of 16 games.
Jerry Jeudy needs 182 receiving yards to reach 1,000 on the season. He averages 58.43 receiving yards per game, 52.09 receiving yards with Courtland Sutton (11 games) and 53.83 receiving yards with Russell Wilson (12 games). Jeudy has no games with 182-plus receiving yards.
Jamaal Williams needs 6 rush yards to reach 1,000 on the season. He averages 61.13 rushing yards per game and 56.53 rushing yards with D’Andre Swift (13 games). Williams has logged 6-plus rushing yards in all 16 games this season.
D’Andre Swift needs 155 scrimmage yards to reach 1,000 on the season. He averages 65 scrimmage yards per game and has logged one game with 155-plus scrimmage yards.
Michael Pittman needs 105 receiving yards to reach 1,000 on the season. He averages 59.67 receiving yards per game and 37.5 receiving yards with Sam Ehlinger as the starter (two games). Pittman has logged 105-plus receiving yards in two of 15 games.
Michael Pittman needs 4 receptions to reach 100 on the season. He averages 6.4 receptions per game and 5 receptions with Sam Ehlinger as the starter (two games). Pittman has logged 4-plus receptions in 12 of 15 games.
Zay Jones needs 198 receiving yards to reach 1,000 on the season. He averages 54.2 receiving yards per game and has no games with 198-plus receiving yards.
Trevor Lawrence needs 99 passing yards to reach 4,000 on the season. He averages 243.81 passing yards per game and has logged 99-plus passing yards in all 16 games.
Travis Etienne needs 179 scrimmage yards to reach 1,500. He averages 87.81 scrimmage yards per game and 93.44 scrimmage yards without James Robinson (nine games). Etienne has no games with 179-plus scrimmage yards.
Christian McCaffrey needs 172 scrimmage yards to reach 1,500 total. He averages 112.32 scrimmage yards per game and 137.6 scrimmage yards with Brock Purdy (five games). McCaffrey has logged one game of 172-plus scrimmage yards.
JuJu Smith-Schuster needs 102 receiving yards to reach 1,000 on the season. He averages 59.87 receiving yards per game and has logged 102-plus receiving yards in two of 15 games.
Austin Ekeler needs 119 rushing yards to reach 1,000 on the season. He averages 55.06 rushing yards per game and has logged 119-plus rushing yards in two of 16 games.
Mike Williams needs 137 receiving to reach 1,000 on the season. He averages 71.92 receiving yards per game and 66.29 receiving yards with Keenan Allen (seven games). Williams has no games with 137-plus receiving yards but has one game with 134.
Justin Jefferson needs 209 to reach 2,000 receiving yards. He averages 111.31 receiving yards per game and has one game with 209-plus.
Diontae Johnson needs 156 receiving yards to reach 1,000 on the season. He averages 53.13 receiving yards per game and 49 with Kenny Pickett as the starter (11 games). Johnson has no games with 156-plus receiving yards.
T.J. Hockenson needs 102 receiving yards to reach 1,000. He averages 55.5 receiving yards per game and 54.78 receiving yards with the Vikings and Kirk Cousins (nine games). Hockenson has logged 102-plus receiving yards in two of 16 games.
Rhamondre Stevenson needs 14 rushing yards to reach 1,000 on the season. He averages 61.63 rushing yards per game and 58.56 rushing yards with Damien Harris (10 games). Stevenson has logged 14-plus rushing yards in 15 of 16 games.
Chris Olave needs 18 receiving yards to reach 1,000 on the season. He averages 70.14 receiving yards per game and 64.81 receiving yards with Andy Dalton (11 games). Olave has logged 18-plus receiving yards in all 14 games.
DeVonta Smith needs 12 receptions to reach 100 on the season. He averages 5.54 receptions per game and 5.07 receptions yards with Jalen Hurts (14 games). Smith has no games with 12-plus receptions.
Najee Harris needs 46 rushing yards to reach 1,000 on the season. He averages 59.31 rushing yards per game and 60.55 rushing yards with Kenny Pickett as the starter (11 games). Harris has logged 46-plus rushing yards in 10 of 16 games.
Kenneth Walker needs 63 rushing yards to reach 1,000 on the season. He averages 66.93 rushing yards per game and 79.1 rushing yards without Rashaad Penny (10 games). Walker has logged 63-plus rushing yards in six of 14 games.
Tyler Lockett needs 21 receiving yards to reach 1,000 on the season. He averages 65.27 receiving yards per game and has logged 21-plus receiving yards in 13 of 15 games.
DK Metcalf needs 13 receptions to reach 100. He averages 5.44 receptions per game and has no games with 13-plus receptions.
Brandon Aiyuk needs 44 receiving yards to reach 1,000. He averages 59.75 receiving yards per game, 70.5 receiving yards without Deebo Samuel (four games) and 60.8 receiving yards with Brock Purdy as the starter (five games). He has logged 44-plus receiving yards in 11 of 16 games.
Chris Godwin needs 32 receiving yards to reach 1,000 on the season. He averages 68.86 receiving yards per game and has logged 32-plus receiving yards in all 14 games. Godwin also needs 2 receptions to reach 100 on the season. He averages 7 receptions per game and has logged 2-plus receptions in all 14 games.
Players Going After Single-Season Records in Week 18
Total yards (passing, rushing and receiving): Patrick Mahomes needs 180 total yards.
Passing yards: Patrick Mahomes needs 430.
Pass attempts: Tom Brady needs 12.
Completions: Tom Brady needs 9.
Receiving yards: Justin Jefferson needs 194.
100-receiving-yard games: Justin Jefferson could tie it with 100 yards in Week 18.
QB rushing touchdowns: Jalen Hurts needs 2.
TE receptions: Travis Kelce needs 12.
TE receiving yards: Travis Kelce needs 117.
TE rushing yards: Taysom Hill needs 39.
RB receptions: Austin Ekeler needs 14.
Receptions and receiving yards without a touchdown: Diontae Johnson needs 2 receptions and 120 receiving yards without a touchdown.
2022 NFL Contract Incentives for Week 18
Christian Kirk needs 2 receptions for $500k and 12 receptions for $1M.
Christian Kirk needs 91 receiving yards for $500k.
Zay Jones needs 2 receptions for $250k, 98 receiving yards for $500 and 198 receiving yards for $750k.
JuJu Smith-Schuster needs 2 receiving yards for $500k.
DeAndre Carter needs 2 receptions for $250k and 55 receiving yards for $100k.
Gerald Everett needs 5 receptions for $250k.
Tyler Higbee needs 13 receiving yards for $500k.
Isaiah McKenzie needs 46 receiving yards for $100k and 10 receptions for $100k.
Hayden Hurst needs 10 receptions for $100k and 3 touchdowns for $125k
Kalif Raymond needs 7 receptions for $250k and 50 receiving yards for $250k.
Jamaal Williams needs 6 rushing yards for $250k.
Deebo Samuel needs 152 rushing yards to earn $500k
Franchise/Team Records
Eagles reception: DeVonta Smith 1, A.J. Brown 5
Eagles receiving yards: A.J. Brown 9
Raiders rushing yards: Josh Jacobs 152
Raiders receptions: Davante Adams 13
Chiefs passing yards: Patrick Mahomes 50
Chiefs completions: Patrick Mahomes 20
Chiefs pass attempts: Patrick Mahomes 37
Buccaneers passing yards: Tom Brady 208
Buccaneers completions: Tom Brady 9
Buccaneers pass attempts: Tom Brady 4 attempts
Chargers pass attempts: Justin Herbert 11
Eagles total yards: Jalen Hurts 214
Bills total yards: Josh Allen 396
Bengals passing touchdowns: Joe Burrow 1
Bengals total yards: Joe Burrow 223
Lions rushing touchdowns: Jamaal Williams 2
Saints rookie receiving yards: Chris Olave 156
Cowboys receptions: CeeDee Lamb 10
