Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jalen HurtsPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Cowboys vs. Eagles
Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 249.5 yards (-132/+102).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 249.5 (+102) after it opened @ 256.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Eagles have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 1.1% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
- A passing game script is implied by the Eagles being a -3.5-point underdog in this week’s game.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Eagles ranks as the best in football this year.
- Jalen Hurts has been one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL this year with an impressive 67.5% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 75th percentile.
Cons
- The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 28.60 seconds per snap.
- Opposing teams teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Cowboys, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 31.6 per game) this year.
- This year, the stout Cowboys defense has surrendered a meager 203.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.
- Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest level in the NFL versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year (63.9% Adjusted Completion%).
- The Cowboys linebackers rank as the 4th-best LB corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
249
Passing Yards
249
Passing Yards
