WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Daniel JonesPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Giants vs. Eagles
Right now, Daniel Jones’s passing yards prop is set at 189.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 189.5 (-110) after it opened @ 195.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Giants are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New York Giants have called the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 60.0 plays per game.
- Daniel Jones has been among the most accurate passers in the league this year with a terrific 67.2% Completion%, ranking in the 82nd percentile.
- The New York Giants have utilized play action on 28.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 8th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 6th-least in the league.
- The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
- Daniel Jones has been among the worst passers in football this year, averaging 200.0 yards per game while checking in at the 25th percentile.
- Opposing offenses have passed for the 6th-least yards in the league (just 212.0 per game) versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
201
Passing Yards
201
Passing Yards
