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Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Foster Moreau from EV Insight

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Foster Moreau

Foster MoreauReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 14

Rams vs. Raiders

Right now, Foster Moreau’s receiving yards prop is set at 33.5 yards (-115/-105).
The public has bet the OVER up to 33.5 (-115) after it opened @ 31.5 (-110).

Pros

  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Foster Moreau has gone out for fewer passes this year (77.0% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (45.1%).
  • THE BLITZ projects Foster Moreau to garner 4.7 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile among tight ends.
  • Foster Moreau has notched far more air yards this season (37.0 per game) than he did last season (19.0 per game).
  • The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Cons

  • The Las Vegas Raiders boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • The Raiders are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Foster Moreau has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among TEs, hauling in a measly 65.0% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 18th percentile.
  • The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (68.8%) versus TEs this year (68.8%).

Projection
THE BLITZ
35
Receiving Yards

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