Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Foster Moreau from EV Insight

Foster MoreauReceiving Yards

Right now, Foster Moreau’s receiving yards prop is set at 33.5 yards (-115/-105).

The public has bet the OVER up to 33.5 (-115) after it opened @ 31.5 (-110).

Pros

The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Foster Moreau has gone out for fewer passes this year (77.0% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (45.1%).
THE BLITZ projects Foster Moreau to garner 4.7 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile among tight ends.
Foster Moreau has notched far more air yards this season (37.0 per game) than he did last season (19.0 per game).
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Cons

The Las Vegas Raiders boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The Raiders are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Foster Moreau has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among TEs, hauling in a measly 65.0% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 18th percentile.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (68.8%) versus TEs this year (68.8%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
35
Receiving Yards