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Using betting lines to set your Week 1 fantasy lineup

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Week 1 of the 2021 NFL season has arrived, and it’s time to set our fantasy football lineups.

As always, lineup decisions are the hardest part of your life as a fantasy manager, and you’ll want to consult as many factors as possible to help you make those choices.

Since you’re reading this article, it’s safe to assume you’re looking for any and every edge possible. And one of the most underutilized data points in season-long leagues are betting lines. 

We will use our trusty FTN Bets tools to complete this research, including the FTN Bets Prop Shop and our NFL Odds page, among others.

 

 

Betting lines to find a streaming QB: Week 1

FTN’s Matthew Davis has you covered with a full article on streaming QB options for Week 1, but you can also consult the betting lines to help you make a choice.

Using implied team and game totals from the FTN NFL Odds page, we can quickly search for possible top-end streaming QB targets. Here are teams with implied Vegas team totals that rank in the 80th percentile or better this week:

In the chart above, you’re looking for is double green in the two colored columns. The column on the far right shows you the implied team total as a percentile (e.g. 80% means that team is expected to score 80% as many points as the team expected to score the most points this week). 

Some weeks, you don’t get potential streamers with double green. Just try to get as close as you can.

Here is a quick list of streaming QB options generated by using point spread betting lines only:

Betting lines to find a streaming DST: Week 1

Using implied team and game totals, we can quickly search for possible top-end streaming DST targets. Here are teams with the best implied Vegas team totals against for this week.