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Same Game Parlay — Week 17 Christmas Day Game, Chiefs @ Steelers

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Christmas Day kicks off with an AFC battle, with the Chiefs taking on the Steelers in Pittsburgh. I’ve put together a same-game parlay for that game that I like for the week. Let’s check it out.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Travis Kelce 25+ Receiving Yards

  • At least 27 receiving yards in 12 out of 15 (80%) games, averaging 5.9 receptions on 8.1 targets for 50.9 yards.
  • At least 27 receiving yards in 10 out of 12 (83.3%) games with Rashee Rice out or playing less than five snaps, averaging 6.8 receptions on 9.2 targets for 57.9 yards.
  • Team-high 90.5% route participation rate and 21% target share.
  • The Steelers tied for the fifth-most targets (7.9) and eighth-most receptions (5.5) per game allowed to opposing tight ends.
  • Per the DVOA-Adjusted Fantasy Points Against Tool, tight ends see a 7% boost in production against Pittsburgh, the 12th-highest rate in the league.

Marquise Brown 25+ Receiving Yards

  • Five catches on eight targets for 45 yards in season debut, despite running a route on only 33.3% of Patrick Mahomes’s dropbacks, trailing only Xavier Worthy for second on the team in both target share (19%) and air yard share (24%).
  • Per the DVOA-Adjusted Fantasy Points Against Tool, WR2s see a 5% boost in production against Pittsburgh, tied for the 11th-highest rate in the league.

George Pickens 25+ Receiving Yards

  • At least 26 receiving yards in all 12 games, averaging 4.6 receptions on 7.5 targets for 70.5 yards.
  • At least 48 receiving yards in all six games with Russell Wilson, 4.8 receptions on 7.7 targets for 81.2 yards.
  • Team-high 86.7% route participation rate, 23.4% target share, and 43.1% air yard share when active.

The Full Same-Game Parlay

(-127, FanDuel Sportsbook)

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