The One Hitter: MLB game-by-game betting breakdown (9/9)

Each day, we are going to try and give you a quick preview of today’s main slate and any interesting betting angles that we spot. Take a look.

All betting lines and information are from the FanDuel Sportsbook. All stats are from the last 30 days via FanGraphs unless otherwise noted.

Blue Jays (+104), Yankees (-122)
Total: 8.5 runs
José Berríos (R) vs. Nestor Cortes Jr. (L)

The Yankees middling offense needs a refresh – their .179 ISO and 26.0% whiff rate is ugly over the last month.
The Jays are crushing the baseball — they’ve climbed to third in team wOBA (.337) over the same time frame.
Can Nestor Cortes Jr. keep dominating as a soft-tossing lefty?

Best bets: The Jays need every game, and they are slamming the Yankees in this series.

Royals (+102), Orioles (-120)
Total: 8.5 runs
Carlos Hernández (R) vs. John Means (L)

The Orioles rank in the bottom 10 in the league with a 25.0% strikeout rate and .313 wOBA.
The Royals rank near the bottom of the league with a .142 ISO over that same time frame.
Camden Yards ranks in the top five in home run factor and park factor.

Best bets: Wednesday returned back to normal and I would expect more runs on the board.

Nationals (+194), Braves (-235)
Total: 9.5 runs
Erick Fedde (R) vs. Huascar Ynoa (R)

The Braves have been a top-five offense in the last month — can they keep it up?
The Nats don’t whiff much (21.2% strikeout rate), and their offense has picked it up lately (.334 wOBA).
Huascar Ynoa has picked up where he left off, striking out nearly a batter per inning with a 0.91 WHIP in the last month.

Best bets: Expect the Braves to keep rolling and take them in a F3/F5 bet.

Rockies (+154), Phillies (-184)
Total: 8.0 runs
Antonio Senzatela (R) vs. Ranger Suárez (L)

The Phillies have been quite mediocre lately, posting a .307 wOBA in the last month.
The Rockies have also crashed and burned lately, logging a .306 wOBA as well.
Antonio Senzatela has allowed only 0.68 HR/9 this year.

Best bets: An over/under of even eight runs seems aggressive with how these teams are swinging the bat. Take the UNDER.

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