Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Welcome to the PrizePicks Play of the Day. If you are new to PrizePicks, it is a simple game where you choose the over or under on multiple picks (between 2 and 5). Different payouts are available depending on the style of the play and how many picks you to do in each play. You can do a “power play,” where each pick needs to be correct in order for the play to win, or you can do a “flex play,” giving yourself some flexibility and still having the opportunity to make money if one of the picks in your play miss.
If you are a new user, get off to a great start by using code ‘FTN’ to get a 100% match up to $100. For example, if you deposit $50, PrizePicks will give you a free $50. Can’t beat that. Now, let’s get to the picks for Tuesday.
MLB PrizePicks Plays Tuesday 6/28
Charlie Morton Over 6.5 Strikeouts
Charlie Morton has at least 8 K’s in four straight starts and his K% continues to be solid as it currently sits at 27% this year. The Phillies will be without Bryce Harper, which significantly weakens a team that has already been prone to the strikeout so far this season. The projected lineup for the Phillies team features seven hitters striking out over 22% of the time against RHPs.
Tarik Skubal Over 5.5 Strikeouts
Maybe my favorite play of the day, Tarik Skubal continues to be massively underrated by many markets. This Giants team has some pop, but they also strike out a ton, and Skubal gets to pitch in an extremely pitcher-friendly Oracle Park. Skubal should have no problem racking up K’s as he has a 26% K% this year, and the current projected lineup for the Giants features six hitters who are striking out 22% of the time or more against LHPs and four who are up over a whopping 32%.
Carlos Carrasco Over 4 Strikeouts
Prior to the last start, Carlos Carrasco had struck out at least 5 hitters in five straight starts, and while his last start did come against this same Houston team, and it didn’t go well, this still feels like the market is down on him because of some recent bias. Carrasco has a 23% K% on the year and has failed to strikeout at least five hitters in just four of his 14 starts this season.
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Find More MLB Player Props on PrizePicks
Player props have become one of the hottest markets in baseball, and PrizePicks offers the perfect balance for daily fantasy players to get in on the MLB player prop action for real money.
Users can select up to five props to combine into a parlay and users can select whether they want the selection to be a “power play” or a “flex play.”
A “power play” means all selections in the PrizePicks pick need to hit and there is a multiplier for the number of events involved. Here’s the “power play” breakdown:
- Pick 2, and if you get them both right, you win 3x your entry fee
- Pick 3, and if you get them all right win 5x your entry fee
- Pick 4, and if you get them all right win 10x your entry fee
Here’s the “flex play” breakdown:
- Pick 5 players: Go 5-of-5 to win 10x, go 4-of-5 to win 2x, or go 3-of-5 to win 0.4x
- Pick 4 players: Go 4-of-4 to win 5x, go 3-of-4 to win 1.5x
- Pick 3 players: Go 3-of-3 to win 2.25x, go 2-of-3 to win 1.25x
- Pick 2 players: Go 2-of-2 to win 2x, go 1-of-2 to win 0.5x
In MLB, PrizePicks offers props like NRFI/YRFI, fantasy score, hits/RBIs, strikeouts, pitching outs, and more. This wide variety of different prop markets makes PrizePicks exciting and also exploitable.
Keep in mind that PrizePicks is not like a traditional sportsbook that has different pricing for each prop. On PrizePicks, the line you see is the line you get, and you must parlay at least two picks to lock in your fantasy plays.
