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Daniel Kelley's Articles

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NFL Fantasy
100 Questions: Fantasy Football 2023 (NFC North)
(As we head toward training camp and the start of preseason, our own Daniel Kelley is asking — and attempting to answer — the most pressing questions around fantasy football for 2023. This is 100 Questions.)   NFC North I mentioned this in the Browns section above, but only two teams haven’t won the division since […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
100 Questions: Fantasy Football 2023 (AFC North)
(As we head toward training camp and the start of preseason, our own Daniel Kelley is asking — and attempting to answer — the most pressing questions around fantasy football for 2023. This is 100 Questions.)   AFC North Per DraftKings Sportsbook’s win total over/unders for 2023, the AFC North has (a) the highest team total […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
100 Questions: The Pressing Fantasy Football Issues Entering 2023
Remember Ask Jeeves? It was my favorite search engine, because I enjoyed performing my searches by typing an actual question. (I know nothing and assume it was a sad little rudimentary AI that just keyed in on certain words, but whatever.) Anyway, I like to know the question before I get the answer. That’s true […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
Draft Sensations: The Best Fantasy Picks of the Last Decade
Last week, we looked at the worst draft picks of the last decade. Peyton Manning, Jordy Nelson, freaking Eddie Lacy. Guys who went early in your fantasy football drafts and not only played poorly, but played a lot, so you couldn’t even get the benefit of benching them. In short, they were the guys who, […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
Sleepers, Busts and Bold Predictions: The 2023 New York Giants
Welcome to Sleepers, Busts and Bold Predictions for the 2023 fantasy football season. All summer, our analysts, two at a time, will preview all 32 NFL teams for the upcoming season. We’ll pick a pair of sleepers, a pair of busts and a pair of bold predictions. Sometimes they’ll be the same pick! Sometimes they […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
Fantasy Football Mock Drafts: Drafting for 2023, Ignoring 2022
Last week, I wrote about some of the worst fantasy draft picks over the last decade. And at running back at least, the common bond was the fantasy football community overdrafting running backs who had only had a single breakout year and expecting that to continue.  I have not (yet?) done the same exercise for […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
Sleepers, Busts and Bold Predictions: The 2023 Minnesota Vikings
Welcome to Sleepers, Busts and Bold Predictions for the 2023 fantasy football season. All summer, our analysts, two at a time, will preview all 32 NFL teams for the upcoming season. We’ll pick a pair of sleepers, a pair of busts and a pair of bold predictions. Sometimes they’ll be the same pick! Sometimes they […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
Draft Disasters: The Worst Fantasy Picks of the Last Decade
The saying goes that you can’t win your fantasy football league in the first round, but you can lose it. There are some (me included) who would argue the first half of that, but you aren’t gonna find many people arguing against the latter. If your first-round — or any super-early pick — craters, your […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
Sleepers, Busts and Bold Predictions: The 2023 Miami Dolphins
Welcome to Sleepers, Busts and Bold Predictions for the 2023 fantasy football season. All summer, our analysts, two at a time, will preview all 32 NFL teams for the upcoming season. We’ll pick a pair of sleepers, a pair of busts and a pair of bold predictions. Sometimes they’ll be the same pick! Sometimes they […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
2023 NFL Roster Rankings
Over the last couple of months, our team has been ranking every position group around the league from 1 to 32. Eight position groups, 32 teams. That gives us a nice little look at the strengths and weaknesses of each roster around the league.   So today, I’m looking at how the rosters all stack […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
2023 NFL Team Offseason Roundup: Minnesota Vikings
It’s time to look ahead to the 2023 NFL season! Follow along with all our fantasy football team offseason roundups here. It’s been a very busy NFL offseason, with free agent signings, coaching changes and several new players entering the league via the NFL Draft. As we prepare for the 2023 fantasy football season, it’s critical […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
2023 NFL Team Offseason Roundup: Green Bay Packers
It’s time to look ahead to the 2023 NFL season! Follow along with all our fantasy football team offseason roundups here. It’s been a very busy NFL offseason, with free agent signings, coaching changes and several new players entering the league via the NFL Draft. As we prepare for the 2023 fantasy football season, it’s critical […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
2023 NFL Team Offseason Roundup: Detroit Lions
It’s time to look ahead to the 2023 NFL season! Follow along with all our fantasy football team offseason roundups here. It’s been a very busy NFL offseason, with free agent signings, coaching changes and several new players entering the league via the NFL Draft. As we prepare for the 2023 fantasy football season, it’s critical […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
2023 NFL Team Offseason Roundup: Chicago Bears
It’s time to look ahead to the 2023 NFL season! Follow along with all our fantasy football team offseason roundups here. It’s been a very busy NFL offseason, with free agent signings, coaching changes and several new players entering the league via the NFL Draft. As we prepare for the 2023 fantasy football season, it’s critical […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
Sleepers, Busts and Bold Predictions: The 2023 Detroit Lions
Welcome to Sleepers, Busts and Bold Predictions for the 2023 fantasy football season. All summer, our analysts, two at a time, will preview all 32 NFL teams for the upcoming season. We’ll pick a pair of sleepers, a pair of busts and a pair of bold predictions. Sometimes they’ll be the same pick! Sometimes they […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
Sleepers, Busts and Bold Predictions: The 2023 Green Bay Packers
Welcome to Sleepers, Busts and Bold Predictions for the 2023 fantasy football season. All summer, our analysts, two at a time, will preview all 32 NFL teams for the upcoming season. We’ll pick a pair of sleepers, a pair of busts and a pair of bold predictions. Sometimes they’ll be the same pick! Sometimes they […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
Sleepers, Busts and Bold Predictions: The 2023 New Orleans Saints
Welcome to Sleepers, Busts and Bold Predictions for the 2023 fantasy football season. All summer, our analysts, two at a time, will preview all 32 NFL teams for the upcoming season. We’ll pick a pair of sleepers, a pair of busts and a pair of bold predictions. Sometimes they’ll be the same pick! Sometimes they […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
Streaming a DST in Fantasy Without Knowing Anything About Football
They say you can’t win your fantasy football league in the first round, but you can lose it. Basically, everyone should be getting an excellent player in the first round, and your job is to just avoid the failures. Sure. Makes sense. The unspoken corollary, then, is that you might not be able to lose […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
Potential Fantasy Landing Spots for DeAndre Hopkins
After an offseason of trade rumors that apparently went nowhere, the Arizona Cardinals gave up on the idea Friday, reportedly releasing veteran WR DeAndre Hopkins. The receiver, who turns 31 next month, immediately becomes a free agent. Hopkins has made five Pro Bowls, including his last three years in Houston in 2017-2019 and his first […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
The Value of the Highest Fantasy Floors
A ceiling is nice in fantasy football. It’s fun to toss Lamar Jackson into your lineup every week and know there’s a chance he’s going to give you one of those electric 42-point outings like he offered in Week 2 last year against the Dolphins. But floors can be killer, like Week 7, when Jackson […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
The Perception/Production Gap in Fantasy Football 2023: WR/TE
We’re wrong in fantasy football far more often than we are right. The drafting community selected Christian McCaffrey first overall in 2020, but then he got hurt and finished as RB54. James Robinson was a fairly anonymous undrafted rookie the same year, going 58th among running backs, and he finished as RB7.    For every […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
The Perception/Production Gap in Fantasy Football 2023: QB/RB
We’re wrong in fantasy football far more often than we are right. The drafting community selected Christian McCaffrey first overall in 2020, but then he got hurt and finished as RB54. James Robinson was a fairly anonymous undrafted rookie the same year, going 58th among running backs, and he finished as RB7.    For every […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
NFL Schedule Release: The Worst Bye Weeks of 2023
There’s an argument to be made that the NFL schedule release day is the most overhyped day of the football calendar, because we know from the minute the previous season ends who everyone will be playing the next season. The schedule is just the order, and while that matters for fantasy football, it’s not that big a […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
The Fantasy Options Most Hurt by Their Division in 2022
Because teams play only 17 games every NFL season, the identities of the teams they face change all the time. The Vikings might play the Giants one year, the Falcons the next, the 49ers the next. But for every team, there is the constant of the division. The Vikings might see those other teams only […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
The Fantasy Options Most Helped by Their Division in 2022
Because teams play only 17 games every NFL season, the identities of the teams they face change all the time. The Vikings might play the Giants one year, the Falcons the next, the 49ers the next. But for every team, there is the constant of the division. The Vikings might see those other teams only […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
Fantasy Veteran Winners and Losers of the 2023 NFL Draft
The focus this weekend, and every NFL Draft weekend, is on the rookies, the 250-plus young men who just saw their professional careers start. And understandably so. But there are also a few thousand guys already in the league before the draft started Thursday, and for many of them, their fantasy football outlook changed dramatically […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
The Aging Curve: What Age Group Is Getting the Touches These Days?
A week ago in this space, I wrote about why over-30 running backs and wide receivers are even worse fantasy football investments than most probably think. A key part of that is that players who get work past their 30th birthday still tend to perform fine on a per-touch basis, but the group at large […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
Over the Hill: Beware the Over-30 Fantasy Football Option
The Ravens revived the buzz of free agent season this week by signing Odell Beckham, probably the top remaining free agent receiver remaining. That’s the exciting part. The less exciting part? Odell Beckham hasn’t played in a year, is coming off his second torn ACL, and when he was “flashing” in his last season active, […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
Fantasy Football’s One-Game Wonders of 2022
Every game counts, and basically every game counts the same. At the end of the fantasy football season, your fantasy point total is real. But that doesn’t mean it isn’t also kind of a mirage. For example: In 2019, Sammy Watkins finished as the WR50, with 138.5 PPR points. Not a great season, but if […]
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Daniel Kelley
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NFL Fantasy
The Biggest Pre-/Post-Bye Changes in Fantasy Football 2022
There aren’t many dividing lines in the NFL season, but the bye week is a (the?) big one. It’s hard to make adjustments at any time during the season. There’s a lot going on. But at least over the bye, teams can sit back and really address their situations, and players can get a break.  […]
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Daniel Kelley
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MLB Bets
2023 MLB Season Preview: National League
Major League Baseball is coming off its first somewhat normal offseason in a while. There were no concerns about missing games to a pandemic or a lockout, there was no CBA to be ironed out. There were just player transactions, questions about regional TV coverage and hope.   The season starts in just a few […]
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Daniel Kelley
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MLB Fantasy
2023 MLB Season Preview: National League
Major League Baseball is coming off its first somewhat normal offseason in a while. There were no concerns about missing games to a pandemic or a lockout, there was no CBA to be ironed out. There were just player transactions, questions about regional TV coverage and hope.   The season starts in just a few […]
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Daniel Kelley