Alex Blickle's Articles

Each week, I’ll review my single-entry DFS lineup, as well as a couple others. I will also track my success rates throughout the season. The criteria for the other lineups to make the article (and tracking) will be over 10% of my overall investment. This week, that included: My single-entry The goal here is to […]

NFL Showdowns have swings like no other. You can go from outside the cash line to within takedown territory (or vice versa) in a single play. A key to ensuring you’re on the right side of those swings more often than not is having a real sense of where ownership will be, and consequently, how […]

Finding ways to diversify without sacrificing expectation or ceiling is a key to GPP success. We can do this through the use of roster construction, but most of the time, we do it by finding diamonds in the rough. Here are my top 10 under 10%. Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens Lamar Jackson made my Advanced […]

GPPs are a game of probability. We can think of the chance of our lineup “hitting” as the chance of all of our individual plays hitting. This is why we stack — by adding correlation, we increase the probability of a group of players hitting at the same time. A great analogy is to think […]

Eliot Crist qualifies his staple article as a pursuit to find “players in the best position to succeed… based on an individual matchup, how teams perform, pace of play, injury-related boost, or a game environment that’s juicy”. For the second consecutive week, I have the honor of doing just that in his stead. Kyler Murray […]

NFL DFS rostership projections evolve throughout the week in a specific way. They begin as a reflection of how people view plays in a vacuum, slowly but surely progressing into a combination of how people view players and how certain player combinations fit into various lineup constructions.  The goal of this article is to: Take […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace means more possessions, which mean more opportunity for fantasy production. Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance. Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS — contrarian […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace means more possessions, which mean more opportunity for fantasy production. Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance. Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS — contrarian […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace means more possessions, which mean more opportunity for fantasy production. Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance. Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS — contrarian […]

Each week, I’ll review my single-entry lineup, as well as a couple of others. I will also track my success rates throughout the season. The criteria for the other lineups to make the article (and tracking) will be > 10% of my overall investment. This week, that included: My SE A small deviation from my […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace means more possessions, which mean more opportunity for fantasy production. Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance. Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS — contrarian […]

NFL Showdowns have swings like no other, where you can go from outside the cashline to within takedown territory (or vice versa) in a single play. A key to ensuring you’re on the right side of those swings more often than the wrong side is having a real sense of where ownership will be, and […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace means more possessions, which mean more opportunity for fantasy production. Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance. Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS — contrarian […]

Finding ways to diversify without sacrificing expectation or ceiling is a key to GPP success. We can do this through the use of roster construction, but most of the time, we do it by finding diamonds in the rough. Here are my top 10 under 10%. Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks Russell Wilson made my Advanced […]

GPPs are a game of probability. We can think of the chance of our lineup “hitting” as the chance of all of our individual plays hitting. This is why we stack — by adding correlation, we increase the probability of a group of players hitting at the same time. A great analogy is to think […]

Eliot Crist qualifies his staple article as a pursuit to find “players in the best position to succeed… based on an individual matchup, how teams perform, pace of play, injury-related boost, or a game environment that’s juicy”. This week, I have the honor of doing just that in his stead. Dak Prescott We have Dak […]

NFL DFS rostership projections evolve throughout the week in a specific way. They begin as a reflection of how people view plays in a vacuum, slowly but surely progressing into a combination of how people view players and how certain player combinations fit into various lineup constructions.  The goal of this article is to: Take […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace means more possessions, which mean more opportunity for fantasy production. Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance. Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS — contrarian […]

For as long as I can remember, the following has been accepted as truth in NFL DFS: RBs are the most predictable because of their volume Pay up for stud RBs because their ceilings are incomparable Since WRs are more volatile, get contrarian there TEs are the most volatile and therefore the hardest to predict […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace means more possessions, which mean more opportunity for fantasy production. Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance. Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS — contrarian […]

Each week, I’ll review my single entry lineup, as well as a couple of others. I will also track success rates throughout the season. The criteria for the other lineups to make the article (and tracking) will be > 10% of my overall investment. This week, that included: My SE A small deviation from my […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace means more possessions, which mean more opportunity for fantasy production. Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance. Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS — contrarian […]

NFL Showdowns have swings like no other, where you can go from outside the cash line to within takedown territory (or vice versa) in a single play. A key to ensuring you’re on the right side of those swings more often than the wrong side is having a real sense of where ownership will be, […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace means more possessions, which mean more opportunity for fantasy production. Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance. Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS — contrarian […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace = more possessions = more opportunity for fantasy production Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS – contrarian options […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace means more possessions, which mean more opportunity for fantasy production. Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance. Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS — contrarian […]

GPPs are a game of probability. We can think of the chance of our lineup “hitting” as the chance of all of our individual plays hitting. This is why we stack – by adding correlation, we increase the probability of a group of players hitting at the same time. A great analogy is to think […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace means more possessions, which mean more opportunity for fantasy production. Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance. Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS — contrarian […]

Ownership Projections evolve throughout the week in a specific way. They begin as a reflection of how people view plays in a vacuum, slowly but surely progressing into a combination of how people view players and how certain player combinations fit into various lineup constructions.  The goal of this Thursday article is to: Take a […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace means more possessions, which mean more opportunity for fantasy production. Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance. Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS — contrarian […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace means more possessions, which mean more opportunity for fantasy production. Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance. Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS — contrarian […]

Fresh off a big Jason Kokrak win, we’re headed to Sea Island, a players’ favorite year in and year out, for the Hero World Challenge. Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risk and reward of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you have to feel like you’re on […]