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Predicting NFL DFS Performance with Price and Roster Percentage

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For as long as I can remember, the following has been accepted as truth in NFL DFS:

  1. RBs are the most predictable because of their volume
  2. Pay up for stud RBs because their ceilings are incomparable
  3. Since WRs are more volatile, get contrarian there
  4. TEs are the most volatile and therefore the hardest to predict

There was certainly a time when all of this was true, and proven true with data. But is it still…

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