Alex Blickle's Articles

This will be the main-slate GPP breakdown article, giving you a clear and concise way to approach the slate in your tournament lineups. By giving you our clear pitcher and stack rankings, along with our key pieces and slate edge, you should have the quick-hitting information needed to build some strong lineups on DraftKings and […]

* Link to Round 4 Showdown Ownership, SD Ratings, & GPP Ratings *  The toughest round 4 showdown slates are the ones like this – where the top of the leaderboard is full of great players you can’t possibly jam all of into your lineup. To win, you have to nail the top, but doing so […]

* Link to Round 3 Showdown Ownership, SD Ratings, & GPP Ratings *  I’m still reeling from Gary Woodland’s lip-out to make the cut, ruining a 6/6. Nevertheless, we power through in hopes of hitting big in round 3.     Ownership & Ratings Notes Projecting ownership for round 3 is difficult since the field was […]

Data in baseball runs deeper and is more comprehensive than in any other sport. In fact, there are so many stats that, in virtually every matchup, you can find a stat to favor each side. Rather, we want to find stats that are fully supported by the collection of stats, painting one clear picture. These […]

The theme of the week for me in DFS is that although the Rocket Mortgage Classic is a birdie-fest, its unique Course Fit Model has me excited for what’s to come. —  Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you […]

There’s a reason gambling lines list starting pitchers next to the odds and totals for baseball games, and books take games off the board when starting pitchers get scratched. Pitchers dictate the context of the matchup and have a larger impact on each possible individual event (ball, strike, foul ball, ball in play) than any […]

This will be the main-slate GPP breakdown article, giving you a clear and concise way to approach the slate in your tournament lineups. By giving you our clear pitcher and stack rankings, along with our key pieces and slate edge, you should have the quick-hitting information needed to build some strong lineups on DraftKings and […]

Golf is the only sport in which the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself with the strokes gained statistics if you haven’t […]

This will be the main-slate MLB GPP DFS breakdown article, giving you a clear and concise way to approach the slate in your tournament lineups. By giving you our clear pitcher and stack rankings, along with our key pieces and slate edge, you should have the quick-hitting information needed to build some strong lineups on […]

This will be the main-slate GPP breakdown article, giving you a clear and concise way to approach the slate in your tournament lineups. By giving you our clear pitcher and stack rankings, along with our key pieces and slate edge, you should have the quick-hitting information needed to build some strong lineups on DraftKings and […]

* Link to Round 3 Showdown Ownership, SD Ratings, & GPP Ratings *  The 3M Open has been an exciting one through two rounds as TPC Twin Cities has lived up to the billing of one of the Tour’s better courses. We are a Scott Piercy collapse away from a great weekend!     Weather In […]

Welcome back from the All-Star break. Data in baseball runs deeper and is more comprehensive than in any other sport. These are the seven stats I find most relevant to Friday’s DFS slate.    1. 10.1% The highest barrel rate allowed by a starter on this slate belongs to José Urquidy, at 10.1%. Urquidy’s average […]

While we’re coming down from the high of the 150th Open Championship to a weak field, there’s reason for excitement here. The 3M Open is hosted by TPC Twin Cities, which is probably one of the best courses on Tour. It also comes with a strong Course Fit Model despite just three years of data.    […]

Golf is the only sport in which the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself with the strokes gained statistics if you haven’t […]

The NFL season is just around the corner, and with it comes an unmatched excitement not only for the sport America loves the most, but for DFS sweats that hit the hardest. Year after year, we convince ourselves that this year will be our best from an NFL DFS perspective. The only issue is that we […]

* Link to Round 4 Ownership, SD Ratings, & GPP Ratings *        The Open has been disappointing for me thus far, in large part because St. Andrews has deviated significantly from the typical Open Championship Fit Model. The silver lining is we have one final round tomorrow to reverse the trend and turn The […]

* Link to Round 3 Ownership, SD Ratings, & GPP Ratings *  There are two factors greatly impacting my approach for Round 3. The first is a major change to the course fit model (pivoting away from the Open Championship Model to a St Andrews Model built on these two rounds worth of data) and the second […]

This will be the main-slate MLB GPP DFS breakdown article, giving you a clear and concise way to approach the slate in your tournament lineups. By giving you our clear pitcher and stack rankings, along with our key pieces and slate edge, you should have the quick-hitting information needed to build some strong lineups on […]

With great power comes great responsibility. The powerful Course Fit Model for the Open Championship is giving us a handful of players who project extremely well for their price and ownership, but we must responsibly pick our favorite contrarian options to pair with high-expectation/low-volatility players to maximize the EV of each lineup. In other words, we […]

Golf is the only sport in which the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament, like this week’s Open Championship, provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself with the strokes […]

Data in baseball runs deeper and is more comprehensive than in any other sport. These are the seven stats I find most relevant to today’s DFS slate.    1. 34.4% Brayan Bello had a 34.4% K rate in 51 innings of AAA ball this season before a poor MLB debut against Tampa last week. His […]

This will be the afternoon GPP breakdown article, giving you a clear and concise way to approach the slate in your tournament lineups. By giving you our clear pitcher and stack rankings, along with our key pieces and slate edge, you should have the quick-hitting information needed to build some strong lineups on DraftKings.   […]

* Link to Round 4 Ownership, SD Ratings, & GPP Ratings *  What a strange leaderboard we have going into Round 4 of the Scottish Open! In hindsight, it sure feels like Matthew Fitzpatrick and Xander Schauffele were obvious plays, but there’s no guarantee they will continue to play such solid golf tomorrow.       […]

* Link to Round 3 Ownership, SD Ratings, & GPP Ratings *  Rounds 1 and 2 have been as chaotic as it gets, with difficult winds contributing to a massive ousting of many of the field’s strongest players. We’ll see if we can sift through the chaos for a round 3 takedown.      Ownership & […]

The Scottish Open becoming a PGA Tour Event is incredibly exciting, as is the fact that we have a strong course fit model to leverage this week.   Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you have to feel like […]

This will be the main-slate MLB GPP DFS breakdown article, giving you a clear and concise way to approach the slate in your tournament lineups. By giving you our clear pitcher and stack rankings, along with our key pieces and slate edge, you should have the quick-hitting information needed to build some strong lineups on […]

Golf is the only sport in which the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament — like this week’s Genesis Scottish Open — provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize […]

This will be the main-slate MLB GPP DFS breakdown article, giving you a clear and concise way to approach the slate in your tournament lineups. By giving you our clear pitcher and stack rankings, along with our key pieces and slate edge, you should have the quick-hitting information needed to build some strong lineups on […]

This will be the afternoon GPP breakdown article, giving you a clear and concise way to approach the slate in your tournament lineups. By giving you our clear pitcher and stack rankings, along with our key pieces and slate edge, you should have the quick-hitting information needed to build some strong lineups on DraftKings.    […]

As with most round 4 showdowns, the discussion must begin with finish-position bonus points and their importance to tomorrow’s round. In round 3, five golfers scored over 60 DK points and ten scored over 50. The birdie-fest nature of the John Deere Classic has two effects on the importance of finish-position bonus equity. First, the […]

This will be the main-slate MLB GPP DFS breakdown article, giving you a clear and concise way to approach the slate in your tournament lineups. By giving you our clear pitcher and stack rankings along with our key pieces and slate edge, you should have the quick-hitting information needed to build some strong lineups on […]

I can’t recall a showdown round where the SD Ratings and GPP Ratings pointed so specifically to a handful of guys. Prediction – there will be a number of similarly built lineups with FTN logos at the top of DK leaderboards tomorrow.     Ownership & Ratings Notes  The most notable take away from ownership projections […]