Week 6 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Michael Pittman from EV Insight

Michael PittmanReceiving Yards

Right now, Michael Pittman’s receiving yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-127/-103).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 59.5 (-103) after it opened @ 60.5 (-113).

Pros

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards a passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Colts to call the 3rd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.4 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 61.0 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Jaguars defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
With a fantastic 63.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (83rd percentile) this year, Michael Pittman rates among the leading wide receivers in the game in the league.

Cons

Our trusted projections expect the Colts offensive gameplan to skew 1.7% more towards the run game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with head coach Shane Steichen now calling the plays.
The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Jacksonville’s group of CBs has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the 5th-best in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
69
Receiving Yards