Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Cooper KuppReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Rams vs. Cardinals
Right now, Cooper Kupp’s receiving yards prop is set at 86.5 yards (-135/+105).
The public has bet the OVER up to 86.5 (-135) after it opened @ 86.5 (-115).
Pros
- The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams as the 9th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Rams this year (a monstrous 64.4 per game on average).
- The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
- The Cardinals defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (38.2 per game) this year.
- The leading projections forecast Cooper Kupp to garner 11.2 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Cons
- A rushing game script is implied by the Rams being a 6.5-point favorite this week.
- The model projects the Rams to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
- When it comes to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
- Cooper Kupp’s 61.6% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a a meaningful reduction in his pass-catching prowess over last year’s 76.4% rate.
Projection
THE BLITZ
97
Receiving Yards
97
Receiving Yards
