Week 17 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Amari Cooper from EV Insight

Amari CooperReceiving Yards

Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 3rd-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.41 seconds per snap.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to notch 8.0 targets in this week’s game, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.
Amari Cooper has compiled far more air yards this season (102.0 per game) than he did last season (85.0 per game).
Amari Cooper’s 65.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 50.3.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
Amari Cooper’s receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 67.9% to 64.1%.
The Washington Commanders safeties profile as the best group of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
69
Receiving Yards