Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Robert WoodsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Commanders vs. Titans
Right now, Robert Woods’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 49.5 (-110) after it opened @ 53.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects Robert Woods to earn 7.2 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among WRs.
- THE BLITZ projects Robert Woods to be much more involved in his team’s pass game this week (24.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (18.1% in games he has played).
- Robert Woods’s sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Completion% jumping from 66.1% to 74.5%.
- Robert Woods’s receiving efficiency has been refined this season, notching 11.01 yards-per-target vs a measly 9.18 figure last season.
- The Washington Commanders defense has yielded the 4th-most receiving yards per game in the league (198.0) vs. wide receivers this year.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Titans to run the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the league this year, totaling just 50.5 plays per game.
- Robert Woods has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (44.0 per game) than he did last season (64.0 per game).
- The Tennessee Titans offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
62
Receiving Yards
62
Receiving Yards
