Week 5 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Dalton Schultz from EV Insight

Dalton SchultzReceiving Yards

Right now, Dalton Schultz’s receiving yards prop is set at 29.5 yards (-104/-131).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 29.5 (-131) after it opened @ 34.5 (-115).

Pros

The Dallas Cowboys will be rolling out backup QB Cooper Rush this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Cowboys are a 5-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Dalton Schultz has run a route on 77.9% of his team’s passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 91st percentile among tight ends.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 9th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 59.6% pass rate.
Dalton Schultz’s ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 76.3% to 55.3%.
Dalton Schultz’s pass-game efficiency has declined this season, compiling a measly 4.74 yards-per-target compared to a 8.14 figure last season.
The Los Angeles Rams defense has conceded the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 25.0) vs. TEs this year.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has shown strong efficiency versus TEs since the start of last season, allowing 6.91 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-least in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
39
Receiving Yards