Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
The FTN team uses Adam Pfeifer’s Week 10 Game by Game Fantasy Breakdown to identify some of the key player props to bet on in this week’s Seahawks/Buccaneers game.
The Seattle Seahawks and Tampa Bay Buccaneers will travel all the way to Germany to battle it out in front of the German crowd. These games across the pond are always a little bit of a toss-up and risky but also very exciting games. This one especially has a ton of meaning for a first-place Seahawks and first place Buccaneers team to keep pace in the NFC playoff picture.
Seattle Seahawks @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Bets
Tom Brady, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
“We’ll see if Tampa Bay continues to struggle to run the football, as Brady has attempted at least 40 passes in each of his last seven contests, but even added volume hasn’t led to strong fantasy numbers.”
Pick: Brady Over 40.5 Passing Attempts (-115, DraftKings Sportsbook)
The Buccaneers offense is definitely struggling this year. It is ultra conservative with Tom Brady coming in at 29th in the league at yards per completion. This is an indication of a few things going on within the offense. First, the Bucs are using the short passing game as an extension of the run game. Brady is throwing “dink and dunk” passes all game long because the Bucs just can’t run the ball with all the injuries on the offense line. Brady has thrown at least 40 passes in his last 7 games, and this game will be no different.
Kenneth Walker, RB, Seattle Seahawks
“Kenneth Walker scored two more touchdowns Sunday, giving him a touchdown in each of his last five games, finding the end zone a total of seven times during that span.”
Pick: Walker Over 78.5 Rushing Yards (-130, DraftKings)
The Seahawks and Kenneth Walker are absolutely on fire right now. Walker is more than likely the front runner for Offensive Rookie of the Year at this point. He has become a bell-cow back for the Seahawks. The Bucs defense is average at best against the run allowing 4.6 yards per carry and over 1,100 yards total on the ground. Walker has hit over 78.5 rushing yards in three of the last four games since he has taken over the backfield for the Seahawks. No coincidence, the Seahawks have now won their last four games by at least ten points. The Seahawks have found the recipe for success to win games week in and week out and that is giving the ball to Walker.
Rachaad White, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
“Rookie Rachaad White continues to handle about 30% of the snaps and seven or eight touches per game, though last week he saw a season-high 11 touches. It appears the gap is closing between Fournette and White, which continues to push the veteran down the ranks in fantasy. He is saving you by averaging 4.6 receptions and 5.4 receptions per game, but he has now plummeted to low-end RB2 status.”
Pick: White Over 18.5 Receiving Yards (-114, FanDuel Sportsbook)
Rachaad White continues to get involved in the pass game especially for the Bucs. He looks much more explosive than veteran Leonard Fournette. He has exactly 3 receptions in four of the last five games. That is a ton of opportunities to get over the 19 yards mark. With his usage continually trending upward I expect White to touch the ball even more this week in a very important game against the Seahawks. Referring back to my first pick with Brady, the short passing game is an extension of the Bucs run game and White is a big part of that.
