Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Austin HooperReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Titans vs. Broncos
Right now, Austin Hooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 16.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 16.5 (-120) after it opened @ 16.5 (-110).
Pros
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
- Austin Hooper has run a route on 59.5% of his team’s dropbacks this year, placing him in the 80th percentile among tight ends.
- THE BLITZ projects Austin Hooper to earn 3.5 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile among TEs.
- Austin Hooper has garnered a colossal 12.8% of his team’s air yards this year: 88th percentile among tight ends.
- Austin Hooper’s receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Completion% rising from 68.0% to 77.2%.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging just 52.0 plays per game.
- The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
- Austin Hooper has posted significantly fewer receiving yards per game (19.0) this year than he did last year (26.0).
Projection
THE BLITZ
24
Receiving Yards
24
Receiving Yards
