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Prime-Time Props — Super Bowl 59 (Chiefs vs. Eagles)

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The Chiefs and the Eagles are set to square off in Super Bowl LIX Sunday, closing out the final Prime-Time Parlay of the 2024-2025 season.

Let’s take a look at my favorite same-game parlay for Sunday’s game.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Patrick Mahomes 150+ Passing Yards

  • At least 151 passing yards in all 18 games, averaging 241.7 yards on 35.1 dropbacks.

Xavier Worthy 25+ Receiving Yards

  • At least 25 receiving yards in 13 out of 18 (80%) games with Rashee Rice out or playing fewer than five snaps, averaging 4.3 receptions on 6.7 targets for 45.8 yards.
  • At least 25 receiving yards in 12 out of 15 (72.2%) games, averaging 3.9 receptions on 6.2 targets for 42.7 yards.
  • At least 45 receiving yards in all four games with Marquise Brown, averaging 6.5 receptions on 8.4 targets for 68.5 yards.
  • Team-high 23.2% target share in the playoffs. 
  • The Eagles ranked 24th in DVOA against WR1s (7.3%) in the regular season.

A.J. Brown 40+ Receiving Yards

  • At least 43 receiving yards in 12 out of 16 (75%) games, averaging 4.8 receptions on 7.2 targets for 74.9 yards.
  • At least 43 receiving yards in 12 out of 15 (80%) games playing at least 50% of the offensive snaps, averaging 4.9 receptions on 7.4 targets for 77.5 yards.
  • Team-high 28.2% target share and 50.2% air yard share when active and playing at least 50% of the offensive snaps.
  • Team-high 22.5% target share and 55% air yard share in the playoffs.
  • The Chiefs ranked 26th in DVOA against WR1s (11.6%) in the regular season.

Dallas Goedert 25+ Receiving Yards

  • At least 25 receiving yards in 11 out of 13 (84.6%) games, averaging 4.4 receptions on 5.4 targets for 52.6 yards.
  • At least 25 receiving yards in 12 out of 13 (92.3%) games playing more than three snaps, averaging 4.8 receptions on 5.8 targets for 57 yards.
  • At least 47 receiving yards in all four games since returning from IR, averaging 4.8 receptions on 6.0 targets for 60.8 yards.
  • Team-high 22.5% target share in the playoffs.
  • The Chiefs allowed the seventh-most targets (8.0), tied for the second-most receptions, and a league-high in receiving yards (70.1) per game to opposing tight ends in the regular season.
  • Per the DVOA-Adjusted Fantasy Points Against Tool, tight ends saw an 18% boost in production against Kansas City in the regular season, the fifth-highest rate in the league.

Same-Game Parlay

(-130, FanDuel Sportsbook)

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