Prime-Time Props — Super Bowl 59 (Chiefs vs. Eagles)

We have reached the final week of the 2024-25 NFL season, with Sunday’s Super Bowl capping it all off. The Philadelphia Eagles will face the reigning champion Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl LIX.

I have a three-leg same-game parlay cooked up for this one, so let’s get into the plays.

Want more Super Bowl SGPs? Check out Sam Choudhury’s favorite.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Dallas Goedert 4+ Receptions

Goedert has exceeded four receptions in nine of 13 games this season, averaging 4.4 catches per game. Per FTN’s DVOA-Adjusted Fantasy Points Against Tool, the Chiefs allowed opposing tight ends to produce at a rate 18% above the league average, ranking fifth-worst defensively. Kansas City allowed the second-most receptions per game to tight ends (6.2).

DeVonta Smith Longest Reception 20+ Yards

The Kansas City secondary struggled to defend deep completions this season, allowing the eighth most in the league (25). Per FTN’s StatsHub, The Chiefs also allowed the eighth-highest deep throw rate at (13.0%). Smith has had a reception of at least 20 yards in 11 of 16 games this season, averaging a longest reception of 24.7 yards. In three head-to-head meetings against the Chiefs, Smith has had a 20-plus-yard catch in each game, averaging a longest reception of 41 yards.

Samaje Perine Over 7.5 Receiving Yards

Perine has crushed this line this season, covering eight or more receiving yards in 16 of 19 games, averaging 17.8 yards per game. Per StatsHub, Perine leads the Chiefs running backs in target share (5.5%) and receiving yards (297).

Best Bets

Dallas Goedert 4+ Receptions
DeVonta Smith Longest Reception 20+ Yards
Samaje Perine Over 7.5 Receiving Yards

SGP Odds: +349, FanDuel Sportsbook