NFL

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November 2, 2023

Week 9 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Rhamondre Stevenson from EV Insight

FTN Staff

Rhamondre StevensonRushing Yards

Right now, Rhamondre Stevenson’s rushing yards prop is set at 46.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 46.5 (-110) after it opened @ 49.5 (-114).

Pros

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Patriots to run on 44.3% of their plays: the 6th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Patriots are expected by the projection model to call 65.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
In this week’s contest, Rhamondre Stevenson is forecasted by the projections to land in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs with 13.5 carries.
Out of all running backs, Rhamondre Stevenson ranks in the 84th percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 51.7% of the workload in his offense’s running game.

Cons

Rhamondre Stevenson’s 38.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year shows a substantial diminishment in his rushing proficiency over last year’s 59.0 figure.
Rhamondre Stevenson’s ground efficiency has declined this season, notching a mere 3.16 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.77 rate last season.
As it relates to the defensive ends’ role in stopping the run, Washington’s collection of DEs has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 5th-best in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
60
Rushing Yards