Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Rhamondre StevensonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Patriots vs. Commanders
Right now, Rhamondre Stevenson’s rushing yards prop is set at 46.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 46.5 (-110) after it opened @ 49.5 (-114).
Pros
- Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Patriots to run on 44.3% of their plays: the 6th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
- Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Patriots are expected by the projection model to call 65.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
- In this week’s contest, Rhamondre Stevenson is forecasted by the projections to land in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs with 13.5 carries.
- Out of all running backs, Rhamondre Stevenson ranks in the 84th percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 51.7% of the workload in his offense’s running game.
Cons
- Rhamondre Stevenson’s 38.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year shows a substantial diminishment in his rushing proficiency over last year’s 59.0 figure.
- Rhamondre Stevenson’s ground efficiency has declined this season, notching a mere 3.16 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.77 rate last season.
- As it relates to the defensive ends’ role in stopping the run, Washington’s collection of DEs has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 5th-best in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
60
Rushing Yards
60
Rushing Yards
