Week 9 Player Props: Rushing Yards for James Cook from EV Insight

James CookRushing Yards

Right now, James Cook’s rushing yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-120/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 50.5 (-110) after it opened @ 55.5 (-115).

Pros

After making up 19.1% of his offense’s carries last year, James Cook has been more involved in the rushing attack this year, now sitting at 52.3%.
James Cook’s 60.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year reflects a substantial gain in his running prowess over last year’s 32.0 figure.
This year, the formidable Cincinnati Bengals run defense has allowed a feeble 5.00 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing run game: the 29th-smallest rate in football.
The Bengals linebackers project as the 5th-worst unit in the league this year in regard to run defense.

Cons

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to run on 36.6% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects the Bills to run the 2nd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
When it comes to executing run-blocking assignments (and the effect it has on all run game metrics), the O-line of the Bills ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL last year.
James Cook’s 4.7 adjusted yards per carry this year marks a noteworthy reduction in his running ability over last year’s 5.8 mark.

Projection

THE BLITZ
53
Rushing Yards