Week 9 Player Props: Rushing Yards for D'Andre Swift from EV Insight

D’Andre SwiftRushing Yards

Right now, D’Andre Swift’s rushing yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (+100/-130).

The public has bet the OVER up to 57.5 (+100) after it opened @ 56.5 (-115).

Pros

A running game script is indicated by the Eagles being a 3-point favorite in this week’s game.
In this week’s contest, D’Andre Swift is projected by the projection model to find himself in the 90th percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.8 carries.
D’Andre Swift has been much more involved in his offense’s ground game this season (48.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (25.3%).
The Philadelphia O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL last year in run-blocking.
D’Andre Swift has rushed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (71.0) this season than he did last season (38.0).

Cons

The Eagles feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 1.0% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
At the moment, the 6th-slowest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Eagles.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may decline.
The Dallas Cowboys defensive ends grade out as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in regard to defending the run.

Projection

THE BLITZ
70
Rushing Yards