Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Dallas Goedert from EV Insight

Dallas GoedertReceiving Yards

Right now, Dallas Goedert’s receiving yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The Eagles feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 1.0% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may decline.
With an exceptional 87.8% Route Participation% (100th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert rates among the tight ends with the biggest workloads in football.
In this contest, Dallas Goedert is forecasted by the predictive model to place in the 93rd percentile among tight ends with 6.1 targets.
When it comes to air yards, Dallas Goedert ranks in the lofty 87th percentile among tight ends this year, totaling a massive 31.0 per game.

Cons

A running game script is indicated by the Eagles being a 3-point favorite in this week’s game.
At the moment, the 6th-slowest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Eagles.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: fewest in football.
Dallas Goedert’s 44.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year illustrates a noteworthy regression in his pass-catching ability over last year’s 58.0 mark.
Dallas Goedert’s 73.6% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a meaningful decline in his receiving skills over last year’s 80.2% mark.

Projection

THE BLITZ
47
Receiving Yards