Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Bijan RobinsonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Falcons vs. Vikings
Right now, Bijan Robinson’s rushing yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-121/-113).
The public has bet the OVER up to 59.5 (-121) after it opened @ 57.5 (-121).
Pros
- A running game script is indicated by the Falcons being a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.
- The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 4th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 46.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to see 131.2 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
- The 7th-most plays in football have been run by the Falcons this year (a whopping 62.0 per game on average).
- Bijan Robinson has generated 52.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest marks in the league when it comes to RBs (81st percentile).
Cons
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- The Minnesota Vikings defense has had the 6th-best efficiency against opposing ground games this year, surrendering just 3.76 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
- The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles grade out as the 4th-best DT corps in football this year when it comes to run defense.
Projection
THE BLITZ
64
Rushing Yards
64
Rushing Yards
