Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Michael Pittman from EV Insight

Michael PittmanReceiving Yards

Right now, Michael Pittman’s receiving yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 59.5 (-110) after it opened @ 58.5 (-110).

Pros

The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to run the most total plays on the slate this week with 66.7 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a colossal 61.9 per game on average).
Michael Pittman has run a route on 98.3% of his offense’s dropbacks this year, putting him in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs.
The projections expect Michael Pittman to earn 9.3 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to WRs.
With a fantastic 66.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (85th percentile) this year, Michael Pittman rates as one of the leading WRs in the NFL in football.

Cons

The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts offensive gameplan to tilt 1.0% more towards the ground game than it did last year (adjusted for context) with head coach Shane Steichen now calling the plays.
The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the 5th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
The Carolina Panthers defense has surrendered the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 126.0) versus WRs this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
70
Receiving Yards