Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Marquise Brown from EV Insight

Marquise BrownReceiving Yards

Right now, Marquise Brown’s receiving yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (-118/-118).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 47.5 (-118) after it opened @ 47.5 (-114).

Pros

The Arizona Cardinals may lean on the pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to start backup quarterback Clayton Tune.
The Cardinals are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
With a top-tier 92.9% Route Participation Rate (93rd percentile) this year, Marquise Brown stands as one of the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in football.
In this week’s contest, Marquise Brown is predicted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 88th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.5 targets.
When it comes to air yards, Marquise Brown ranks in the towering 91st percentile among wide receivers this year, averaging a staggering 102.0 per game.

Cons

The Arizona Cardinals feature a new play-caller this year in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 6.0% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
Right now, the 3rd-least pass-focused offense in football (55.3% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Arizona Cardinals.
The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
Opposing teams teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Browns, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.0 per game) this year.
Marquise Brown’s 56.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a remarkable regression in his receiving proficiency over last season’s 62.8% figure.

Projection

THE BLITZ
52
Receiving Yards