Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Logan Thomas from EV Insight

Logan ThomasReceiving Yards

Right now, Logan Thomas’s receiving yards prop is set at 35.5 yards (-131/-104).

The public has bet the OVER up to 35.5 (-131) after it opened @ 33.5 (-113).

Pros

The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders offensive gameplan to lean 13.9% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy now calling the plays.
The predictive model expects the Commanders as the 3rd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 64.9% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 9th-most in football.
In this contest, Logan Thomas is anticipated by our trusted projection set to finish in the 93rd percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.1 targets.
Logan Thomas has accrued significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (40.0) this season than he did last season (25.0).

Cons

The predictive model expects the Commanders to run the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Projection

THE BLITZ
39
Receiving Yards