NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Garrett WilsonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Jets vs. Chargers
Right now, Garrett Wilson’s receiving yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-120/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 65.5 (-110) after it opened @ 70.5 (-125).
Pros
- The Jets will be forced to utilize backup QB Zach Wilson in this week’s game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
- The Jets are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
- Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 130.6 plays on offense run: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
- The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (39.7 per game) this year.
- The projections expect Garrett Wilson to accumulate 10.9 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 98th percentile among WRs.
Cons
- Our trusted projections expect the New York Jets to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 58.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
- The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Jets this year (a measly 52.9 per game on average).
- In regards to pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Jets ranks as the worst in the NFL this year.
- Garrett Wilson is positioned as one of the weakest wide receivers in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
78
Receiving Yards
78
Receiving Yards
