Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for D.J. Moore from EV Insight

D.J. MooreReceiving Yards

Right now, D.J. Moore’s receiving yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The Bears are a giant 9.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
With an extraordinary 95.4% Route% (96th percentile) this year, D.J. Moore ranks among the wide receivers with the most usage in football.
In this week’s game, D.J. Moore is anticipated by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 91st percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.8 targets.
D.J. Moore’s 82.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year signifies a meaningful boost in his receiving ability over last year’s 49.0 mark.

Cons

Our trusted projections expect the Chicago Bears as the 9th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Bears to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.9 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Chicago O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
The Saints pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59.6%) vs. wideouts this year (59.6%).
The Saints pass defense has shown good efficiency against WRs this year, conceding 7.00 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-fewest in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
71
Receiving Yards