Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for CeeDee Lamb from EV Insight

CeeDee LambReceiving Yards

Right now, CeeDee Lamb’s receiving yards prop is set at 78.5 yards (-127/-108).

The public has bet the OVER up to 78.5 (-127) after it opened @ 75.5 (-119).

Pros

The predictive model expects the Cowboys offensive strategy to tilt 4.9% more towards the passing attack than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3-point underdog in this week’s contest.
The Eagles defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (41.1 per game) this year.
In this game, CeeDee Lamb is projected by the model to find himself in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wideouts with 9.1 targets.
With a stellar 89.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (95th percentile) this year, CeeDee Lamb stands among the best wide receivers in the game in football.

Cons

At the present time, the 8th-slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Dallas Cowboys.
CeeDee Lamb has posted quite a few less air yards this season (79.0 per game) than he did last season (94.0 per game).
With a RATE1-RATE2 point reduction in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) from last season to this one, CeeDee Lamb has been featured much less in his offense’s pass attack.
This year, the daunting Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has given up the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing WRs: a meager 2.8 YAC.

Projection

THE BLITZ
78
Receiving Yards