Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Austin Hooper from EV Insight

Austin HooperReceiving Yards

Right now, Austin Hooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 9.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 9.5 (-120) after it opened @ 10.5 (-110).

Pros

The Titans are a big 13.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 43.3 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in the NFL.
Austin Hooper has run a route on 59.1% of his team’s dropbacks this year, ranking in the 79th percentile among tight ends.
Austin Hooper has earned a whopping 10.1% of his team’s air yards this year: 79th percentile among TEs.
Austin Hooper’s possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% increasing from 68.0% to 79.3%.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.7 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Austin Hooper has notched substantially fewer receiving yards per game (16.0) this season than he did last season (26.0).

Projection

THE BLITZ
18
Receiving Yards