Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
James ConnerRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
Right now, James Conner’s rushing yards prop is set at 36.5 yards (-119/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 36.5 (-119) after it opened @ 32.5 (-120).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to call the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 66.0 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects James Conner to earn 12.1 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among RBs.
- James Conner has garnered 45.2% of his offense’s rush attempts this year, putting him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
- Opposing teams have rushed for the 3rd-most yards in the league (145 per game) versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.
Cons
- The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- The Arizona Cardinals O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in run blocking.
- James Conner has run for quite a few less yards per game (43.0) this season than he did last season (53.0).
- The Seattle Seahawks defensive tackles rank as the 9th-best group of DTs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.
- The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
53
Rushing Yards
53
Rushing Yards
