Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Adam Thielen from EV Insight

Adam ThielenReceiving Yards

Right now, Adam Thielen’s receiving yards prop is set at 68.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 68.5 (-110) after it opened @ 66.5 (-114).

Pros

The Carolina Panthers feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 6.2% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see 133.0 total plays called: the most out of all the games this week.
The Panthers have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 63.4 plays per game.
Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
Adam Thielen has put up substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (88.0) this season than he did last season (47.0).

Cons

The Carolina O-line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
84
Receiving Yards