Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Taylor HeinickePassing Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Falcons vs. Vikings
Right now, Taylor Heinicke’s passing yards prop is set at 207.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 207.5 (-115) after it opened @ 219.5 (-115).
Pros
- Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to see 131.2 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
- The 7th-most plays in football have been run by the Falcons this year (a whopping 62.0 per game on average).
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 2nd-highest level in football versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year (76.7% Adjusted Completion%).
Cons
- A running game script is indicated by the Falcons being a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.
- Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 53.4% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
- The projections expect Taylor Heinicke to attempt 32.9 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 7th-fewest out of all QBs.
- As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Minnesota’s collection of safeties has been excellent this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
235
Passing Yards
235
Passing Yards
