Week 9 Player Props: Passing Yards for Josh Allen from EV Insight

Josh AllenPassing Yards

Right now, Josh Allen’s passing yards prop is set at 272.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 272.5 (-110) after it opened @ 267.5 (-110).

Pros

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 63.4% of their downs: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
Josh Allen has attempted 37.1 throws per game this year, ranking in the 81st percentile among QBs.
The Buffalo offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Josh Allen comes in as one of the leading QBs in football this year, averaging a terrific 286.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 95th percentile.
Josh Allen’s 72.8% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a meaningful improvement in his throwing precision over last season’s 64.2% figure.

Cons

The predictive model expects the Bills to run the 2nd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Cincinnati Bengals, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 33.3 per game) this year.
This year, the stout Cincinnati Bengals defense has allowed the 8th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing teams: a mere 4.7 YAC.

Projection

THE BLITZ
291
Passing Yards