Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Dak PrescottPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Eagles vs. Cowboys
Right now, Dak Prescott’s passing yards prop is set at 260.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 260.5 (-110) after it opened @ 248.5 (-110).
Pros
- The predictive model expects the Cowboys offensive strategy to tilt 4.9% more towards the passing attack than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
- A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3-point underdog in this week’s contest.
- The Eagles defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (41.1 per game) this year.
- Dak Prescott’s throwing accuracy has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 65.4% to 70.8%.
- With a terrific 7.62 adjusted yards-per-target (87th percentile) this year, Dak Prescott ranks among the best per-play QBs in the league.
Cons
- At the present time, the 8th-slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Dallas Cowboys.
- This year, the strong Philadelphia Eagles defense has surrendered the least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to the opposing side: a paltry 3.8 YAC.
Projection
THE BLITZ
249
Passing Yards
249
Passing Yards
