Week 8 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Najee Harris from EV Insight

Najee HarrisRushing Yards

Right now, Najee Harris’s rushing yards prop is set at 41.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 41.5 (-110) after it opened @ 40.5 (-114).

Pros

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.3 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
In this contest, Najee Harris is projected by the projections to find himself in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.4 carries.
Out of all running backs, Najee Harris ranks in the 90th percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 60.6% of the workload in his offense’s running game.
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL last year at opening holes for rushers.
As it relates to the linebackers’ role in run defense, Jacksonville’s unit has been lousy this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Cons

The Steelers have called the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 53.5 plays per game.
The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may suffer.
Najee Harris has rushed for many fewer adjusted yards per game (46.0) this year than he did last year (59.0).
Najee Harris’s ground effectiveness (3.56 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (24th percentile among RBs).
Opposing offenses have run for the 5th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 85.0 per game) vs. the Jaguars defense this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
63
Rushing Yards