Week 8 Player Props: Rushing Yards for D'Andre Swift from EV Insight

D’Andre SwiftRushing Yards

Right now, D’Andre Swift’s rushing yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 65.5 (-115) after it opened @ 65.5 (-110).

Pros

A running game script is indicated by the Eagles being a 6.5-point favorite in this week’s game.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Eagles to run on 46.2% of their chances: the 7th-highest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects D’Andre Swift to earn 13.9 rush attempts this week, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
D’Andre Swift has been a more important option in his team’s rushing attack this season (45.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (25.3%).
D’Andre Swift’s 72.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year signifies an impressive progression in his running proficiency over last year’s 38.0 rate.

Cons

The model projects the Eagles offense to be the 10th-most sluggish paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 28.64 seconds per play.
As it relates to the defensive ends’ role in defending against the run, Washington’s group of DEs has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 6th-best in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
62
Rushing Yards