Week 8 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Chuba Hubbard from EV Insight

Chuba HubbardRushing Yards

Right now, Chuba Hubbard’s rushing yards prop is set at 40.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 40.5 (-110) after it opened @ 34.5 (-110).

Pros

At the present time, the 9th-most run-focused team in the league (41.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Carolina Panthers.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The 4th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a colossal 64.0 per game on average).
The leading projections forecast Chuba Hubbard to total 13.8 carries in this week’s game, on balance, placing him in the 80th percentile among running backs.
With a terrific tally of 4.69 adjusted yards per carry (81st percentile), Chuba Hubbard ranks as one of the leading RBs in the league this year.

Cons

The Carolina Panthers have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 5.6% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely creating a passing game script.
This year, the poor Texans run defense has conceded a staggering 3.79 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing offenses: the 25th-largest rate in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
61
Rushing Yards